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Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Did Desjardin just Release the Kraken? - Kraken Robotics Investment and Business Report (June 2025)

 


Company Overview

Name: Kraken Robotics Inc.
Ticker: TSX-V: PNG | OTCQB: KRKNF
Headquarters: Newfoundland & Labrador, Canada
Sector: Maritime Robotics, Defense, and Subsea Infrastructure
Specialties: Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS), subsea batteries, underwater drones (KATFISH), LiDAR, seabed mapping systems


Desjardins Recent Financing (June 2025)

In June 2025, Kraken completed a major bought-deal financing of CAD 100 million, underwritten by Desjardins Capital Markets. The deal involved issuing 37.6 million shares at CAD 2.66/share, with an over-allotment option for an additional 15% (~5.6M shares).

  • Total Proceeds: Up to CAD 115M gross (with over-allotment)

  • Use of Proceeds:

    • Expansion of subsea battery manufacturing in Nova Scotia

    • Acceleration of SAS and KATFISH production

    • Expansion into global naval and energy markets

    • Integration of recent acquisition (3D at Depth)


Major Contracts and Revenue Streams

1. Defense/Naval Sector (NATO & Allies)

Kraken is well-positioned to benefit from increased global defense spending, especially among NATO allies. Recent developments include:

  • NATO Navies (Europe & North America):

    • Multi-year, multi-nation contracts in pipeline

    • Successful demos of KATFISH and AquaPix SAS with navies in Canada, U.K., and Norway


    • Legacy contract with an Asia-Pacific navy for $9.5M CAD

  • Canadian Department of National Defence:

    • Standing Offer Agreements in place

    • Active participant in Canadian defense modernization

2. Subsea Energy Sector (North America, Europe, Asia)

  • Battery Contracts:

    • Orders exceeding $11M CAD for SeaPower subsea batteries for UUVs and AUVs

    • Strong backlog through 2026; production scaling in Canada

  • Acoustic Corer Projects:

    • $8M CAD contract for seabed imaging in offshore wind farms


    • Targeting North Sea, U.S. East Coast, and East Asia wind development

3. Commercial Survey and Offshore Wind

  • Sub-bottom Imaging Contracts:

    • $3M CAD in contracts signed in Q2 for seabed survey and UXO detection

    • LiDAR and 3D imaging added via acquisition of 3D at Depth (US$17M deal closed in April 2025)


Global Expansion & Opportunities

North America

  • Canada: Anchor client for defense, with ongoing naval trials and procurement

  • United States: Entry point through 3D at Depth acquisition; U.S. Navy and offshore wind developers are key prospects

Europe

  • U.K. Royal Navy: Target client for KATFISH SAS and subsea batteries


  • Germany/Norway/Netherlands: Interest from NATO-aligned agencies and surveyors

Asia-Pacific

  • South Korea & Japan: Offshore energy and maritime security are priority targets

  • Australia: Collaborations under consideration for AUV integration with Kraken’s battery tech


Strategic Acquisitions

3D at Depth (Closed April 2025)

  • Adds underwater LiDAR and 3D imaging capabilities

  • Expands Kraken’s offering into real-time digital twins and high-res asset inspection

  • Strengthens U.S. presence


Financial Outlook (2025–2026)

  • 2025E Revenue: CAD 65–70 million

  • EBITDA Margin: 18–20% projected

  • Cash Position Post-Financing: CAD 190M+ (incl. Q1 cash + new capital)

  • Dilution: ~20% increase in outstanding shares (now ~225–230M)


Valuation Commentary

  • Intrinsic Value Estimate: ~CAD 1.60/share based on conservative DCF

  • Catalyst-Based Upside: Potential to exceed CAD 3.00–3.50 if NATO/naval contracts close and battery backlog accelerates

  • Stock Price (Post-Deal): CAD 2.66 (anchor price)


Investment Thesis

Kraken Robotics presents a compelling small-cap defense and robotics play, with:

  • Direct exposure to rising defense spending and subsea security needs

  • Proprietary technology (SAS, subsea batteries, LiDAR)




  • Strong capital position post-financing

  • Contracts in place and strong pipeline across NATO, energy, and commercial sectors

Risks: Execution of integration, government contract delays, market dilution

Upside: Accelerated backlog conversion, new contracts (NATO/U.S. Navy), energy transition tailwinds


Verdict: Kraken Robotics is well-capitalized, technologically differentiated, and globally relevant—poised to scale into a key supplier in subsea defense, robotics, and energy infrastructure.

ED Note:

Full disclosure: We are long PNG stock!

Our previous article from January 2025

A shadow war is brewing under the worlds oceans. 

Release "The Kraken"!

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