"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"

Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Some key companies stand to benefit Through Executive Order #14196, as President Trump is launching a brand-new national investment fund

 


Trump’s planned industrial boom suggests several sectors and names could benefit under this policy-driven shift:

  • Energy and infrastructure builders: Firms involved in pipelines, grid upgrades, and power infrastructure. He points to energy producers and contractors gaining from expanded natural gas and grid investment 

  • Industrial AI enablers: Companies providing manufacturing automation, power systems for data centers, defense-tech suppliers, and precision parts makers 

potential winners in a Trump‑backed industrial surge:

  • Vistra Corp (VST) – a power generation company, notably in nuclear and grid expansion 

  • Parsons (PSN) and Eaton (ETN) – focused on critical infrastructure and power management 

  • Emcor, Quanta Services (PWR), and Vertiv (VRT) – construction, electric power infrastructure, and data‑center systems 

  • Super Micro Computer (SMCI) – for high-performance servers supporting AI 


๐ŸŽฏ Bottom line

  • Primary stock: Broadcom (AVGO) –  in the sweet spot of AI, data‑center networking, and national policy support 

  • Additional names to consider 

    • Vistra (VST) – nuclear/grid expansion

    • Parsons (PSN), Eaton (ETN) – infrastructure & power

    • Emcor, Quanta (PWR), Vertiv (VRT) – construction/electrical/data‑center infrastructure

    • Super Micro (SMCI) – AI/server systems

Executive Order #14196 (titled "Ensuring the Future Is Made in All of America by All of America's Workers") — originally signed by President Biden in January 2021 — was focused on strengthening U.S. domestic manufacturing and reshoring supply chains. In the Trump-era reinterpretation or revival of a similar industrial policy through a new "national investment fund" (often framed in political circles as a “MAGA Fund” or “America First” strategy), the implication is large-scale government-favored investment in American companies critical to national infrastructure, defense, and supply chain resilience.

Assuming such a fund is enacted under a second Trump administration or by legislative allies, the following 10 companies are well-positioned to benefit:


๐Ÿ”Ÿ Top Stocks That Would Likely Benefit from a Trump-Led National Investment Fund

#CompanySectorReason for Selection
1Lockheed Martin (LMT)DefenseMassive beneficiary of defense spending; a Trump priority.
2Quanta Services (PWR)Infrastructure / GridCritical for upgrading U.S. energy and electrical grid.
3NextEra Energy (NEE)Energy (grid & nuclear)Clean and nuclear energy focus, with U.S.-centric buildout.
4Broadcom (AVGO)SemiconductorsU.S. chip production and AI infrastructure enabler.
5Super Micro Computer (SMCI)AI/Data InfrastructureEssential for AI servers, edge computing, and "Made in USA" systems.
6Caterpillar (CAT)Industrial EquipmentHeavy machinery for American infrastructure projects.
7Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)Strategic MineralsU.S.-based copper supplier critical for electrification.
8Albemarle (ALB)Lithium/BatteriesU.S. lithium leader tied to energy independence and EV supply chain.
9Eaton Corp (ETN)Electrical ComponentsElectrical equipment maker, key in manufacturing reshoring.
10General Dynamics (GD)Defense/CyberNational security and IT systems, already deeply embedded in U.S. programs.

๐Ÿ›️ Key Trump Policy Themes Likely to Drive These Picks

  1. Defense buildup → LMT, GD

  2. Manufacturing reshoring → AVGO, SMCI, ETN, CAT

  3. Energy independence → NEE, FCX, ALB, PWR

  4. AI and tech sovereignty → SMCI, AVGO

  5. Infrastructure spending → CAT, PWR, ETN


๐Ÿ“Š Strategy Insight

A Trump-style fund would likely emphasize self-reliance, security, and hard infrastructure. Stocks with deep U.S. operations and ties to strategic government contracts, reshoring initiatives, or defense/energy policies would be at the core.

Here is the full investment profile for the top Trump-policy beneficiary stocks, including:

๐Ÿ“ˆ Key Metrics

  • 1-Year Returns: Highlights recent performance momentum.

  • Volatility: Helps assess risk level.

  • Dividend Yield, P/E, P/B, ROE: Evaluate income potential and valuation quality.

๐Ÿงฎ Portfolio Strategies

  • Equal Weight: Simplest strategy, 10% per stock.

  • Risk-Adjusted Weight: Allocates more to lower-volatility stocks (defensive posture).

  • Momentum Weight: Emphasizes stocks with strongest price growth (aggressive posture).


Trump Beneficiary Stocks - Stress Test & Sector Breakdown Here is the full investment profile now including sector breakdown and stress-tested returns under three economic scenarios:

๐Ÿ” Key Takeaways

Portfolio Strategies

  • Equal Weight: Balanced exposure across all names.

  • Risk-Adjusted Weight: Favors Eaton and Quanta for stable performance.

  • Momentum Weight: Allocates heavily to Super Micro (SMCI) due to its exceptional return.

๐Ÿ“Š Stress-Test Scenarios

  • Recession: Defense and infrastructure plays (e.g., Quanta, Eaton) are more resilient.

  • Inflation: Energy and industrial sectors show strength (e.g., Freeport, Caterpillar).

  • Trade War/Tariffs: Commodities (e.g., Albemarle, Freeport) and infrastructure surge.

๐Ÿงฑ Sectors

  • Strong mix of:

    • Industrial infrastructure (CAT, ETN, PWR)

    • Tech + AI (SMCI, AVGO)

    • Defense (LMT, GD)

    • Energy & Materials (FCX, ALB)


Here are the model portfolio outcomes based on an initial $100,000 investment using three allocation strategies:


๐Ÿ“Š Final Portfolio Values (After 1 Year)

StrategyFinal Value ($)
๐ŸŸฉ Momentum Weight$150,199 ๐Ÿš€
⚖️ Equal Weight$124,540
๐Ÿ›ก️ Risk-Adjusted Weight$121,362

๐Ÿง  Interpretation

  • Momentum Weighting dramatically outperformed by concentrating in top performers like Super Micro (SMCI) and Broadcom.

  • Equal Weight gave a solid, balanced return (~24.5%), suitable for diversified exposure.

  • Risk-Adjusted Weight provided stability and lower volatility, but with modest upside.

5-Year Projected Portfolio Value 

Here is a 5-year projection based on compounding the 1-year returns of each allocation strategy:


๐Ÿ“ˆ 5-Year Projected Portfolio Values

Strategy5-Year Projected Value ($)
๐ŸŸฉ Momentum Weight$764,415 ๐Ÿš€
⚖️ Equal Weight$299,602
๐Ÿ›ก️ Risk-Adjusted Weight$263,277

๐Ÿง  Analysis

  • Momentum Portfolio could deliver outsized returns if high performers (like SMCI and AVGO) continue outperforming — though this comes with higher volatility risk.

  • Equal Weight strategy yields steady growth, nearly tripling over 5 years.

  • Risk-Adjusted favors capital preservation with modest compounding.

  • ED Note: I am Always aware of confirmation bias and so only have these companies on watch!


Monday, June 16, 2025

How BEAM Therapeutics Base editing technology and patents are validated by the treatment of Baby KJ

 


A groundbreaking treatment that saved baby KJ earlier in 2025 used base editing—a precise form of gene editing—developed through the partnership of IGI and CHOP/Penn in collaboration with researchers at the University of Pennsylvania and Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia.

KJ was born last August with a rare genetic disorder called carbamoyl phosphate synthetase I (CPSI) deficiency, which caused him to spend the first year of his life in the hospital. KJ  is the first patient of customized gene-editing therapy.

๐Ÿ”ฌ Key Details:

  • Patient: A 1-year-old named KJ, diagnosed with Wolman disease, a fatal genetic disorder.

  • Technology Used: Base editing—a more precise and less disruptive form of CRISPR that changes a single DNA letter without cutting the DNA strand.

  • Company involved: Danaher & its IGI partnership provided the manufacturing infrastructure

  • Event timing: Treatment occurred in early 2025, reported publicly in May 2025 via The Washington Post, TIME, and Wall Street Journal.

  • How it worked: Doctors used base editing ex vivo (outside the body) on KJ’s stem cells to correct a mutation in the LIPA gene. The edited cells were then transplanted back.

๐Ÿ’ก Why It Matters:

This was the first-ever compassionate use case of base editing in a human patient and potentially the first customized CRISPR-derived therapy to save a life in real-time clinical crisis—proving that IGI's and  Beam's technology as not just experimental, but life-saving.


What it means for our investment in BEAM Therapeutics:

Pipeline Acceleration & Clinical Validation

1. BEAM‑302 (AATD) – Confirmed Efficacy & Safety

  • Early Phase 1/2 results show dose-dependent increases in functional AAT protein and up to 78% reduction of mutant protein after a single dose Analysts see this as a “bar-setter” for in vivo base editing, especially since LNPs (used for liver delivery) showed a clean safety profile, easing concerns from related therapies 

2. BEAM‑101 (Sickle Cell Disease)

  • The ex vivo base editing trial has now treated 17 patients, with updated safety and HbF efficacy data presented at EHA 2025 

  • Beam plans to complete dosing in 30 patients by mid-2025 

3. BEAM‑301 (GSD Ia)

  • A Phase 1/2 trial began in May 2025, marking the expansion into metabolic/liver-focused in vivo editing 

4. ESCAPE Conditioning Platform

  • Progress continues on a non-genotoxic conditioning strategy to improve stem cell transplants, supporting broader deployment of ex vivo therapies

๐Ÿ’ฐ Investment & Financial Health

  • In March 2025, Beam raised $500M through a follow-on offering at $28.48/share to specifically fund BEAM‑101, BEAM‑302, and ESCAPE 

  • As of Q1 2025, Beam holds approximately $1.2 billion in cash, sufficient to support operations into 2028 


๐Ÿ“ˆ Analyst Sentiment & Stock Outlook

  • Analyst consensus is generally bullish, with ratings like “Buy/Outperform” and median price targets near $46 (50–100% upside from current levels) Key near-term stock catalysts include:id-2025 data readouts from BEAM‑101 and BEAM‑302.

    • Late‑2026 goal for BEAM‑101 Biologics License Application (BLA) filing 

⚖️ Risk vs. Reward

UpsideRisks
• One-time, durable cures• High R&D spending; cash burn continues 
• Competitive, less invasive delivery• Potential off-target effects or regulatory delays
• Strong capital & novel platform• Market adoption and reimbursement uncertainties

✅ Summary:

Beam’s pipeline is more validated and better funded than ever:

  • In vivo successes in AATD (BEAM‑302) and GSD Ia (BEAM‑301).

  • Ex vivo progress in BEAM‑101 (SCD).

  • Extensive cash runway, likely enough to reach major clinical catalysts.

  • Investor optimism keyed to upcoming data and potential BLA filings.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Bottom line: Beam is positioned as a high-risk, high-reward play in genetic medicine—investor visibility has increased dramatically in 2025 with clinical proof-of-concept and strong funding. 

The next 6‑12 months of data releases will be crucial.

ED Note:  We are long BEAM stock, and, we would not be surprised if their was a buyout!

Let's review the details once again!

1. IGI and CHOP/Penn developed the CRISPR base-editing therapy

  • The Innovative Genomics Institute (IGI) at UC Berkeley, led by Jennifer Doudna, Fyodor Urnov, and Petros Giannikopoulos, performed the key research: identifying the base-editing approach, designing the editor and guide RNA, running safety assays, and helping secure FDA approval. They collaborated closely with CHOP and Penn clinical teams to deploy the therapy to Baby KJ statnews.com+7vcresearch.berkeley.edu+7the-scientist.com+7.


๐Ÿš€ 2. Danaher & its IGI partnership provided the manufacturing infrastructure

  • IGI had formed the “Danaher‑IGI Beacon for CRISPR Cures” in early 2024—a collaboration between IGI and Danaher to build an on‑demand “cookbook” and scalable manufacturing pipeline for CRISPR therapies danaher.com+6innovativegenomics.org+6genengnews.com+6.

  • When KJ’s case emerged, Danaher’s DBS (Danaher Business System) activated its subsidiaries—IDT (guide RNA), Aldevron (mRNA editor), Acuitas (LNP delivery)—to rapidly produce the therapy in under six months (instead of 18–24), a critical logistical feat genengnews.com+5danaher.com+5the-scientist.com+5.


๐Ÿ”„ How these threads intersect

RoleEntityContribution
Research & designIGI + CHOP/PennIdentified mutation, designed editor, performed safety testing, architected therapy
Manufacturing & scale-upDanaher via Beacon/DBSRapid production of therapeutic components and delivery vehicles through its subsidiaries

๐Ÿ‘ถ So what really happened with Baby KJ?

  • The scientific breakthrough—the precision base-editor treatment—came from IGI, CHOP, and Penn.

  • The “turning it into a real drug, fast enough to treat KJ” depended on Danaher’s industrial firepower through the Beacon collaboration and DBS efficiencies.


Both aspects are essential: the molecular innovation (from IGI/academia) and the manufacturing/logistical execution (from Danaher).
That’s why some reports emphasize the science from BEAM Therapeutics (or rather, IGI-led research), while others highlight the Danaher-IGI Beacon and DBS manufacturing.


✅ Bottom line

  • IGI/BEAM side: provided the underlying gene-editing tech and clinical strategy.

  • Beacon/ Danaher side: supplied the infrastructure to make, test, and deliver it rapidly.

They worked hand-in-hand—that’s why both narratives appear, and why both are true.

The base-editing technology used to treat Baby KJ originated from academic research led by the Innovative Genomics Institute (IGI)—not BEAM Therapeutics—though Beam works on similar tech.

Here’s a breakdown of who owns and developed what:


๐Ÿงฌ The Core Technology:

  • Developed by IGI scientists, especially at UC Berkeley, led by Dr. Fyodor Urnov and Dr. Jennifer Doudna.

  • The therapy used adenine base editing (ABE) to correct a single-letter mutation in the SLC17A5 gene.

  • The editor, guide RNA, and delivery method were designed and validated in-house at IGI—not licensed from Beam.


๐Ÿ”ง Who Actually Made It:

  • IGI didn't have manufacturing capacity, so they partnered with Danaher through the Danaher-IGI Beacon for CRISPR Cures.

  • Danaher subsidiaries—like Aldevron (mRNA), IDT (guide RNA), and Acuitas (LNP)—produced the treatment materials.

  • Danaher enabled IGI’s therapy to reach the clinic fast, but did not invent the core editing tech.


๐Ÿงช What About Beam Therapeutics?

  • "Beam popularized and refined base editing commercially and owns key patents".

  • However, Beam was not involved in Baby KJ’s case.

  • That said, Beam uses a similar base-editing approach and often collaborates with academic groups, but this specific case was independent of Beam.


✅ Final Answer:

The technology used to cure Baby KJ was developed by IGI scientists at UC Berkeley, not Beam Therapeutics.
Danaher provided manufacturing and scale-up support via its Beacon collaboration—but IGI owns the scientific credit.

Here's a structured analysis of how the successful treatment of Baby KJ using IGI-developed base editing impacts Beam Therapeutics' (BEAM) pipeline and investment outlook:


๐Ÿ“ˆ 1. Validation of Base Editing as Clinically Viable

While Beam Therapeutics wasn’t involved in Baby KJ’s treatment, the successful real-world application of base editing dramatically validates Beam’s entire platform:

SignalImplication
Adenine base editing corrected a lethal mutation in a real patientConfirms the precision, safety, and efficacy of base editing
FDA allowed compassionate useBoosts credibility with regulators, paving the way for Beam’s future INDs
Global media & scientific attentionRaises investor awareness and optimism for Beam’s pipeline success

๐Ÿ” Bottom line: This proves that base editors can go beyond the lab—a major credibility boost for Beam.


๐Ÿ”ฌ 2. Beam’s Pipeline Benefits from Timing and Similarity

Beam’s current lead programs are in genetic blood and liver disorders, which also involve single-nucleotide mutations—perfect use cases for base editing:

ProgramTargetStage
BEAM-101Sickle cell diseasePhase 1/2
BEAM-302Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD)IND submitted
BEAM-301Glycogen storage disease IaIND-enabling
  • Many of these programs use adenine base editors, just like in KJ’s case.

  • The delivery mechanism (LNPs) and editor format (mRNA + guide RNA) are the same—so clinical translation is de-risked.

๐Ÿ’ก Translation advantage: Beam now benefits from clinical proof-of-concept, without taking the risk themselves.


๐Ÿ’ฐ 3. Investor Confidence & Potential Catalysts

FactorImpact
Base editing now proven feasibleIncreases likelihood of Beam’s trials succeeding
Beam owns extensive IP on base editorsCould lead to licensing opportunities or acquisitions
Current price (~multi-year lows)Might attract deep-value and biotech-focused funds
Potential M&A targetLarge pharmas (e.g., Pfizer, Roche, Vertex) may now see Beam as a validated platform rather than early-stage speculation

๐Ÿง  Expect analyst upgrades, stronger buy-side attention, and possibly strategic interest in Beam due to this milestone.


๐Ÿ“‰ Risk Factors Still Exist

RiskNote
Beam didn’t do the KJ trialNo direct clinical validation of their own programs yet
Competition from IGI, Verve, EditasAcademic groups or biotechs could move faster in specific niches
Delivery & durability remain challengesEspecially for systemic delivery beyond liver or bone marrow

๐Ÿง  Investment Takeaway

Even though Beam didn’t treat Baby KJ, the entire biotech world now knows base editing works in humans. That reduces risk for Beam’s clinical pipeline, increases their perceived value, and makes them a more attractive investment or acquisition target.

This event has quietly become one of the most important validations of Beam’s thesis—and it happened without them needing to spend years in the clinic.

ED Notes:

Full disclosure: I am long both BEAM Therapeutics and Editas as well as 

CRSPR and NVDA (not mentioned here)