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Showing posts with label technology. Show all posts
Showing posts with label technology. Show all posts

Saturday, September 20, 2025

"Infleqtion Quantum" The SPAC is back, and, I believe this one could be quite lucrative as this pioneer of Quantum Sensing Technology goes public!!

 


Here’s a retail-friendly investment/business snapshot of Infleqtion 

(going public via Churchill Capital Corp X – “CCCX”)

plus a quick peer check vs IONQ, D-Wave (QBTS), and Rigetti (RGTI).

Churchill Capital Corp X (CCCX)
$12.17
+$0.82(+7.29%)September 19

Infleqtion (ticker to be: INFQ after merger) — Retail Cheat Sheet

What Infleqtion is

Neutral-atom “full-stack” quantum company that sells precision sensors (clocks, RF, inertial/GPS-denied nav) and quantum computing systems, with software to tie it together. The SPAC deal values Infleqtion at ~$1.8B pre-money and aims to list as INFQ after closing. Reuters+1

Why now (deal basics & cash)

  • Transaction: Infleqtion to merge with CCCX; post-close ticker expected: INFQ (Nasdaq). Shareholder vote + SEC clearance required. SEC

  • Proceeds: “> $540M expected gross proceeds” (includes ~$416M trust, >$125M PIPE). Actual cash depends on redemptions. PIPE backers cited include Maverick Capital and Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global (plus others). Yahoo Finance+2The Quantum Insider+2

  • Use of funds: accelerate product roadmap, manufacturing scale-up, and go-to-market. The Quantum Insider

Commercial traction (what’s real today)

  • Revenue (TTM to Jun 30, 2025): ~$29M; 2025E booked & awarded business ~ $50M; identified pipeline > $300M (company figures; prelim/unaudited). Quantum Computing Report+1

  • Customers/partners called out: NASA, U.S. DoD, U.K. government, and NVIDIA among others. Nasdaq+1

  • Tech milestones (company-stated): neutral-atom platform with record qubit arrays, high two-qubit fidelities, early logical-qubit demos; sensors already shipped in volume (hundreds). The Quantum Insider

Institutional & transaction parties (high level)

  • PIPE investors (named in press/PR): Maverick Capital, Counterpoint Global (Morgan Stanley), plus Glynn Capital, BOKA Capital, LCP Quantum (per deal comms). The Quantum Insider

  • Advisors: Citi (capital markets advisor/PIPE placement), J.P. Morgan (advisor/PIPE), BTIG; multiple law firms. The Quantum Insider


How Infleqtion stacks up vs public quantum peers

CompanyCore tech & focusWhere $ comes from nowRecent scale markers
Infleqtion (INFQ, post-deal)Neutral atoms; sensing (clocks/RF/inertial) + computingGovernment/defense + enterprise; sells hardware & systems; softwareTTM rev ~$29M; booked/awarded ~$50M 2025E (company est.) Quantum Computing Report+1
IonQ (IONQ)Trapped-ion quantum computingCloud QPU access, services, systemsLarger public market cap today; raised significant capital; pure computing focus. (See investor deck comps.) Churchill Capital X Corp
D-Wave (QBTS)Quantum annealing (optimization), moving toward “advantage2”Cloud/hybrid annealing services; enterprise pilotsSmaller revenue base than Infleqtion per deck comps; meaningful enterprise logos. Churchill Capital X Corp
Rigetti (RGTI)Superconducting gate-modelCloud access, government R&D, systemsSimilar early-stage commercialization; comps show lower LTM revenue. Churchill Capital X Corp

Deck comparison slide shows Infleqtion LTM revenue ~$29M vs IONQ $52M, D-Wave $22M, Rigetti $8M as of 6/30/25 (company/FactSet notes; prelim and subject to change). Churchill Capital X Corp

Live trading context (today): IONQ ~$70, QBTS ~$27, RGTI ~$29, CCCX ~$12 (can be volatile around deal milestones). (Prices from the market feed above.)


Simple thesis (retail version)

Bull case (what could go right):

  • Quantum sensing has nearer-term use (GPS-denied nav, timing, RF) -> revenue earlier than pure computing. Government/defense demand is a strong tailwind. Nasdaq

  • Platform leverage: one neutral-atom “core” to serve both sensing + computing -> diversified revenue and cross-learning. The Quantum Insider

  • Capitalized via SPAC + PIPE to scale production and delivery. Yahoo Finance

Bear case (key risks):

  • De-SPAC risk: redemptions/dilution; post-merger selling pressure common in SPACs. SEC

  • Execution/SWaP-C: shrinking lab systems into rugged, cost-effective field units is hard; procurement cycles can be long. (Industry analyses flag manufacturability & adoption hurdles.) datacenterdynamics.com

  • Competition & valuation volatility across quantum names.


How to invest (plain English)

  1. Before the merger closes: buying CCCX common gives you exposure. If the deal closes and you do not redeem, your CCCX shares become INFQ automatically at closing. There will be a shareholder vote and a redemption window disclosed in the SEC S-4/proxy. SEC

  2. At/after conversion: ticker should switch to INFQ; trading can be volatile in the first weeks. SEC

  3. Position sizing (retail rule-of-thumb): treat as early-stage growth—size modestly (e.g., 0.5–2% of portfolio per name), add on execution catalysts (new contracts/shipments) rather than price spikes.

  4. Catalysts to watch: SEC S-4 effectiveness, shareholder vote, redemption results, first major shipment(s) of sensors/nav systems, new defense/space awards, computing milestones (logical-qubit progress). SEC+1


Bottom line (my take)

If you want nearer-term quantum exposure tilted to sensing + dual-track computing, Infleqtion offers a differentiated approach and real (if early) revenues vs peers. The risk is high (it’s still deep-tech + SPAC dynamics), but the setup is credible: named government customers, growing bookings, and fresh capital. For a diversified retail portfolio, a starter position held through the conversion—with eyes on redemption levels and first post-close execution—makes sense if you accept volatility and a multi-year horizon. Quantum Computing Report+2Yahoo Finance+2



Ed Note: How are we investing in Infleqtion?

We bought shares of CCCX @ $10.70 and plan to hold them through the conversion process.  

If, after conversion, there is a drop in share price of INFQ, we will be adding to our small position.(1.5%)

Sources & references

Thursday, September 18, 2025

Here’s a tight, investor-ready snapshot of Honeywell (NASDAQ: HON) with the latest numbers and why Quantinuum + portfolio moves matter.

 



Honeywell — Investment/Business Report (as of Sept 18, 2025)

Executive summary

Honeywell is reshaping into three focused platforms—Aerospace Technologies, Industrial Automation, and Energy & Sustainability Solutions—and plans to separate Automation and Aerospace after spinning its Advanced Materials unit (“Solstice Advanced Materials”) in Q4-2025, targeting all separations by 2H-2026. Q2’25 results beat guidance; FY-2025 outlook was raised. Meanwhile, majority-owned Quantinuum completed a $600M round at a $10B pre-money valuation, adding explicit “option value” to HON’s sum-of-parts. Honeywell International Inc. Honeywell Honeywell+1


Recent financials & guidance

  • Q2’25: Sales $10.35B (+8% y/y; +5% organic); Adj. EPS $2.75 (+10% y/y). Segment margin 22.9%. Honeywell International Inc.

  • FY-2025 guidance (raised Jul 24, 2025): Sales $40.8–$41.3B; organic growth 4–5%; segment margin 23.0–23.2%; Adj. EPS $10.45–$10.65; FCF $5.4–$5.8B. Honeywell International Inc.+1

  • Portfolio actions (Q2’25 release): Closed $2.2B Sundyne acquisition; announced £1.8B Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies deal; completed $1.3B PPE business sale; considering strategic alternatives for Productivity Solutions & Services and Warehouse & Workflow Solutions. Honeywell International Inc.


Segment performance & demand signals (Q2’25)

  • Aerospace Technologies: +6% organic; strength in defense & space (+13%) and commercial aftermarket (+7%); backlog +16%. Honeywell International Inc.

  • Industrial Automation: Flat organic; Sensing & Safety +4%; pressure in European demand and W&WS projects. Honeywell International Inc.

  • Building Automation: +8% organic; margin 26.2% aided by the Global Access Solutions acquisition (LenelS2, Onity, Supra). Acquisition closed Jun 3, 2024 for $4.95B. Honeywell International Inc.+2Honeywell+2

  • Energy & Sustainability Solutions (UOP + Advanced Materials): +6% organic; UOP +16% on catalysts, gas processing licenses, sustainability backlog conversion. Honeywell International Inc.


Technologies, contracts, partners & customers (selected 2024–2025 items)

  • Aerospace/Avionics: multi-year avionics deal with LOT Polish Airlines for its 737 MAX fleet (deliveries from 2026). Vertical Aerospace deepened a long-term pact for VX4 air-taxi flight-control systems (deal potential up to $1B over a decade). Honeywell Aerospace+1

  • Quantum sensing (near-term): U.S. DoD TQS program awards—CRUISE and QUEST (MagNav)—to develop quantum-enabled navigation/magnetometry. Honeywell Aerospace+1

  • Access control & smart buildings: LenelS2/Onity/Supra added at scale via Carrier deal; supports Honeywell’s Building Automation growth and cross-sell into enterprise/real-estate. Honeywell

  • UOP & sustainability: Ongoing wins in petrochemical catalysts, gas processing, SAF/renewables flows highlighted in Q2 deck/PR. Honeywell International Inc.


Quantinuum (majority-owned) — why it matters to HON

Capital raise: $600M at $10B pre-money (Sept 4, 2025); new investors include NVIDIA’s NVentures, Quanta Computer, QED Investors; prior $300M round (Jan 2024) valued at $5B. Reuters+3Honeywell+3

  • Tech milestones: record quantum volume on H-Series and roadmap toward fault-tolerant systems; NVIDIA CUDA-Q integration; IPO chatter 2026–2027 depending on markets. Barron's+1

  • Implication for HON: clearer sum-of-parts uplift (explicit equity mark + eventual liquidity), expanded defense/industrial sensing funnels, and partnership halo with blue-chip investors (NVIDIA, JPMorgan, Mitsui, etc.). Reuters+1


Strategy & catalysts (next 6–18 months)

  1. Separation roadmap: Spin of Solstice Advanced Materials targeted Q4-2025, followed by separation of Automation and Aerospace; full three-company structure targeted 2H-2026. Watch for Form-10/S-1 filings, capital structures, and dividend policies. Honeywell International Inc.

  2. M&A integration: Sundyne and Catalyst Technologies synergy realization; cross-sell of Global Access Solutions into Building Automation. Honeywell International Inc.+1

  3. Aerospace cycle: aftermarket strength + defense budgets; specific avionics/air-taxi certification milestones (LOT/Vertical). Honeywell Aerospace+1

  4. Quantum milestones: Quantinuum “Helios” updates, large-enterprise wins, and any IPO/spin signals; policy grants/DoD-DOE awards for quantum sensing/compute. Barron's+1

  5. FY-2025 delivery: hitting raised guide (sales, margin, EPS, FCF). Honeywell International Inc.


Risks

  • Execution on multi-step separations and integrations (Sundyne, Catalyst Tech; carve-outs). Honeywell International Inc.

  • Macro cyclicality (commercial aero, industrial automation projects) and Europe demand softness. Honeywell International Inc.

  • Quantum timing risk if commercialization lags expectations. (Industry-wide; mitigated by HON’s diversified earnings base.) Barron's


Valuation framing (qualitative)

  • With FY-2025 Adj. EPS $10.45–$10.65, HON trades at ~19–20× on the widget price above; premium supported by high-teens segment margins, strong FCF, and portfolio catalysts. A successful Quantinuum IPO could unlock incremental value beyond core industrial comps. Honeywell International Inc.


Bottom line

Honeywell’s core cash engines (Aerospace aftermarket/defense, UOP catalysts, Building Automation) are performing, guidance is higher, and management is simplifying the portfolio while adding targeted M&A. Overlay Quantinuum’s momentum and potential IPO, and you have a blue-chip industrial with structural re-rating catalysts and a quantum call option—tempered by separation/M&A execution and quantum timing risks. Honeywell International Inc.+1

Wednesday, September 3, 2025

The Trump Administration has recently invested in both MP Materials and Intel! Question: who might be next, and why!

 


These critical U.S. companies were named in the CHIPS Act and have received preliminary agreements (Preliminary Memoranda of Terms, or PMTs)—but for which funding has not yet been fully disbursed (i.e., not finalized yet):

Ed Note:
It appears the Trump administration is turning giveaways from the chips act, into "investments" in those companies targeted. This report speculates on which companies might be next, after investments have been made in Intel and MP Materials.



1. Microchip Technology (NASDAQ: MCHP)

  • The U.S. Department of Commerce signed a non-binding Preliminary Memorandum of Terms (PMT) to provide approximately $162 million under the CHIPS and Science Act, aimed at bolstering domestic semiconductor supply for automotive, defense, and aerospace industries. That funding has not yet been finalized.
    Z2Data+10NIST+10TSMC+10

  • In a twist, Microchip later backed off pursuing the grant for expansion of its Gresham, Oregon facility. That further suggests no disbursement has occurred yet.
    KGW+1


2. Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU)

  • Micron has a preliminary agreement for a $6.1 billion CHIPS Act grant to build a chip fabrication campus in Clay, New York ("megafab") and boost capacity in Boise, Idaho.
    Chuck Schumer's Senate Website+15Wikipedia+15

  • As of now, this remains preliminary, which implies that funding has not been fully disbursed.
    Barron'sThe Verge


3. GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ: GFS)

  • In February 2024, GlobalFoundries signed a preliminary agreement for over $1.5 billion in CHIPS funding to strengthen domestic legacy chip supply.
    New York Post+1

  • The award was later finalized in November 2024—meaning the preliminary stage was completed and funding is now moving forward.
    Wikipedia


4. Intel (NASDAQ: INTC)


Summary Table

CompanyPreliminary Agreement?Finalized?Status
MicrochipYes, ~$162 M PMTNo, not finalizedFunding has not been disbursed
MicronYes, ~$6.1 B PMTNo, not finalizedStill in preliminary stage
GlobalFoundriesYes, ~$1.5 B PMTYes, finalizedFunding now moving forward
IntelYes, ~$8.5 B PMTYes, finalizedFunds now to be disbursed

Companies still in preliminary-only stage (no final disbursement yet):

  • Microchip Technology (MCHP) – ~$162 M PMT, not finalized.

  • Micron Technology (MU) – ~$6.1 B PMT, not finalized.


    Ed Note:  

  • Listen to any hints of more investments coming from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik in late September or before!

narrowing to AI tech & infrastructure and focusing on U.S.-domiciled names, here’s a balanced list of 10 companies that (a) are strategically important for American tech leadership, and (b) could see outsized upside if the U.S. government explicitly takes a position or expands incentives.


Core chip manufacturing (the foundation)

1) Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) — Leading-edge and advanced packaging fabs across AZ/OH/OR/NM; already the single biggest CHIPS Act beneficiary (grants + loans). A direct stake would further de-risk multi-node U.S. capacity and supply chain resilience. ReutersU.S. Department of Commerce

2) Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) — U.S. leader in DRAM/HBM and NAND; memory is the oxygen of AI clusters. The White House already announced a preliminary CHIPS package up to ~$6.1B for new U.S. fabs—government equity/co-investment would accelerate HBM ramp critical to training/inference. The White HouseThe Verge

3) GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ: GFS) — Only U.S. pure-play foundry at scale, trusted for DoD needs; finalized up to $1.5B CHIPS award to expand New York and modernize Vermont (incl. GaN). A government position would fortify secure domestic supply for auto/defense/edge-AI. NISTGlobalFoundries

4) Microchip Technology (NASDAQ: MCHP) — Mature-node MCUs/analog that go into everything from defense systems to data-center controls; ~$162M preliminary CHIPS support to expand U.S. fabs. Additional public backing would harden this critical “everywhere silicon” tier. NIST


AI compute & systems (where the work gets done)

5) Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) — Designs/racks full AI systems (GB200/NVL72, HGX B200) and leads on liquid-cooling at rack scale; a federal position signals confidence in domestic AI-server capacity and speeds deployments for gov/defense workloads. SupermicroSupermicro

6) Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET) — The Ethernet backbone for AI clusters (400/800G today, 1.6T on deck). Government support would catalyze U.S.-based networking scale-out across federal/HPC sites. Arista Networks

7) Lattice Semiconductor (NASDAQ: LSCC) — Ultra-low-power FPGAs for edge-AI, control, and security—ideal for ruggedized, power-constrained defense/industrial endpoints. A stake would expand “AI at the edge” capacity domestically. latticesemi.com+1


AI data-center infrastructure (power, cooling, reliability)

8) Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) — Power distribution & advanced liquid-cooling that make giga-scale AI sites possible; expanding NA solutions specifically to ease AI deployments. Federal backing would accelerate retrofits/new builds across critical facilities. Vertiv InvestorsVertiv


Materials & devices that unlock performance

9) Wolfspeed (NYSE: WOLF) — Silicon-carbide (SiC) devices and materials for efficient power (AI data centers, high-power PSUs, EV charging). Proposed $750M CHIPS support + large private capital—public co-investment would speed U.S. SiC capacity vital to AI power chains. WolfspeedSEC

10) MP Materials (NYSE: MP) — U.S. rare-earths mining/separation; DoD has already funded HREE separation at Mountain Pass. A deeper stake would cement a domestic magnet/REE supply for defense, motors, and data-center equipment.

(Recently turned into an investment in the company by the administration)  

U.S. Department of Defense


Why these 10?

  • National-security leverage: Together they span logic, memory, foundry, servers, networking, power/cooling, edge FPGAs, SiC power, and REE supply—i.e., every chokepoint between sand and AI output.

  • Policy momentum: CHIPS/DPA precedents exist (Intel, Micron, GlobalFoundries, Microchip; DoD for MP). Additional capital or a formal government position would reduce financing risk and accelerate