"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"

Tuesday, December 16, 2025

"lithium is no longer just an EV story. It’s becoming an AI story. A big one"!


"Lithium is becoming an AI story — as artificial intelligence accelerates data center growth, massive new energy storage capacity will be needed, and lithium is at the core of that infrastructure."


⚡️ Smackover Lithium — A Strategic Resource for the AI & Energy Storage Era

🧠 Why Lithium Is Now an AI Story

The rise of AI and machine learning has triggered explosive growth in data centers — and those facilities demand huge amounts of constant and backup power.

  • As more AI servers come online, energy storage will become essential to keep data flowing even during outages or demand spikes.

  • Lithium-ion batteries, already dominant in EVs, are now being deployed at scale in AI-enabled data centers, grid storage, and backup power arrays.

  • This means lithium is no longer just about electric vehicles — it’s about powering the AI economy.


πŸ“ What Is Smackover Lithium?

Smackover Lithium is a large-scale lithium brine project in the U.S. Southeast. It aims to supply high-grade lithium from underground brine reservoirs — ideal for EVs, grid batteries, and AI-driven data center storage.

  • The project spans southern Arkansas and east Texas, sitting atop the Smackover Formation, a vast underground structure filled with mineral-rich brine.

  • Unlike hard-rock lithium mining, brine projects like Smackover offer lower surface impact and can be processed with cleaner, faster DLE technology.


πŸ“¦ How Big Is It?

  • U.S. Geological Survey estimates the Smackover Formation could host 5+ million metric tons of lithium — one of the largest in North America.

  • The project has two main zones:

    • SWA Project (Southwest Arkansas) — Flagship development site with high lithium concentrations (437 mg/L average)

    • East Texas (Franklin Project) — Newly announced resource area with some of the highest lithium-in-brine grades recorded in the U.S. (up to 806 mg/L)


πŸ›  Who Owns & Operates It?

CompanyRoleOwnership
Standard Lithium (SLI)Operator, technology provider55%
Equinor ASA (EQNR)Strategic partner, capital provider45%
  • Standard Lithium is a lithium tech company using Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE).

  • Equinor, a global energy giant (formerly Statoil), is supplying capital and deep expertise in subsurface development.


⚙️ Technology Edge: Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE)

Smackover Lithium uses DLE, a newer process that:

  • Pulls lithium directly from brine using selective filters.

  • Eliminates large evaporation ponds.

  • Returns most water to the ground, reducing environmental footprint.

  • Achieved >99% lithium recovery in pilot operations.

This makes Smackover more scalable, cost-efficient, and ESG-friendly than older methods.


πŸ’΅ Recent Big Developments (2025)

πŸ’° 1. Over $1 Billion in Project Finance Interest

  • Smackover Lithium received expressions of interest from major export credit agencies — including U.S. EXIM Bank and Export Finance Norway — and global banks.

  • These groups are interested in providing over $1.1 billion in senior debt to help fund Phase 1 of the SWA project (total capex ~$1.45B).

  • The project also received a $225 million U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) grant.

πŸ“Œ Why this matters: Big, institutional money doesn’t chase hype — it follows viability. This shows Smackover is seen as real, scalable, and strategic.


πŸ“ˆ 2. Positive Feasibility Study Completed

  • In September 2025, Smackover Lithium released a Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS) showing:

    • Strong project economics

    • 22,500 tonnes per year lithium output (Phase 1)

    • Project NPV (net present value): $1.7 billion+

πŸ“Œ This is a critical step before a final decision to build (expected late 2025).


🌎 3. New Resource Discovery in Texas

  • East Texas “Franklin Project” was added with a maiden inferred resource.

  • Contains extremely high lithium grades (up to 806 mg/L) — among the best in North America.

  • Offers optional scale-up potential beyond Arkansas.


🏭 Location Advantage

  • Smackover sits close to major U.S. industrial hubs, auto factories, and battery makers.

  • Can serve EV, grid storage, and data center battery clients with minimal transport costs.

  • Qualifies for U.S. tax credits, subsidies, and IRA incentives.


πŸ“Š Why It’s Interesting for Small Investors

  • Lithium is now essential for AI infrastructure — not just EVs.

  • Smackover is:

    • One of the most advanced brine lithium projects in the U.S.

    • Supported by government funding AND major private capital.

    • Environmentally better than many other lithium projects.

  • This is a real project, not a concept — and it's backed by a Fortune 100 energy partner (Equinor).


⚠️ What to Watch

  • Final Investment Decision (FID) still pending (target: late 2025)

  • Lithium price fluctuations could affect economics

  • Execution risk (construction, permitting, scaling)

  • Potential for equity dilution if more capital is needed


✅ Bottom Line

Smackover Lithium is shaping up to be a flagship U.S. lithium project, positioned at the intersection of:

  • EV boom

  • Grid storage revolution

  • AI-powered energy demand

Backed by Equinor, a $225M DOE grant, and over $1B in financing interest, this project may soon become a major domestic lithium supplier.

πŸ”‹ Lithium isn’t just for EVs anymore — it’s powering the AI era. Smackover might be one of the first North American projects to meet that demand.

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