"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label analyst. Show all posts
Showing posts with label analyst. Show all posts

Friday, June 27, 2025

When the tech "hits the fan" so to speak, who might bid for Cabaletta Bio and their cutting edge technology?

 


Cabaletta Bio is a compelling acquisition target in a growing niche—cell therapy for autoimmune diseases. Its unique platform, strong early data, and relatively low valuation make it attractive to major players in biotech and pharma, particularly those with an existing CAR-T infrastructure or autoimmune drug pipeline.

CABA is a small but well-capitalized biotech with a pioneering CAR‑T approach for autoimmune diseases, showing promising data. Its next 12–18 months are defining—success in FDA discussions and continued data strength could trigger a meaningful re‑rating or acquisition by larger biotech/pharma. For risk-tolerant investors, it offers speculative upside tied closely to clinical and regulatory catalysts.

Institutional Ownership Overview

Based on recent filings and data summaries:

  • Institutional ownership ranges from ~53–63% of outstanding shares, with ~42–44 million shares held by institutions (13F data: 42.9 M shares; 62.97% per Investing.com) 

  • Approximately 110–234 institutional investors have held CABA over the past 24 months (Fintel: 234 owners; MarketBeat: 110 active over 2 years) 

📋 Top Institutional Shareholders (Equity Only, via 13F / Public Disclosures)

  1. Citadel Advisors LLC – disclosed 4.82 million shares (~5.20%) as of June 20, 2025 (13G filing) 

  2. Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC – holds ~2.76 million shares (~5.17%) as of Mar 31, 2025 T. Rowe Price Investment Management – among top holders at ~8.36% (~4.46 M shares) BlackRock, Inc. – owns ~6.47% (~3.45 M shares)

  3. Adage Capital Partners – holds ~5.69% (~3.03 M shares) The Vanguard Group – around ~5.33% (~2.84 M shares) .

  4. Jennison Associates LLC – ~4.56% (~2.43 M shares) 

Other notable asset managers include Commodore CapitalCormorant Asset ManagementMorgan StanleyVenrockSofinnovaRedmilePerceptive Advisors, and Fred Alger among active participants 


Summary Table

Institutional HolderStake %Shares (Approx.)
Citadel Advisors LLC5.20%4.82 M
Bain Capital Life Sciences Investors, LLC5.17%2.76 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Mgmt8.36%~4.5 M
BlackRock, Inc.6.47%~3.4 M
Adage Capital Partners5.69%~3.0 M
Vanguard Group5.33%~2.8 M
Jennison Associates4.56%~2.4 M

📝 Key Takeaways

  • Citadel Advisors is the largest disclosed institutional investor with over 5% ownership via 13G.

  • Bain, T. Rowe Price, BlackRock, Adage, Vanguard, and Jennison are major long-only holders.

  • In total, 50+ million shares are under institutional control—a majority of the float.

  • Smaller funds like Sofinnova, Perceptive, Commodore, Cormorant, Fred Alger, Redmile, etc., also have meaningful stakes and active trading.

    Potential Suitors & M&A Landscape

    Big biotech firms with existing autoimmune or cell therapy franchises may find Cabaletta attractive:

    • Roche/Genentech, Bristol‑Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Novartis, Johnson & Johnson, Amgen, Gilead.

    • These players already have CAR-T platforms or autoimmunity portfolios and could accelerate CABA’s path to commercialization via acquisition or a licensing deal following pivotal data or FDA alignment.

    • A successful BLA in myositis could significantly increase attractiveness in M&A.


    ✅ Key Catalysts to Watch

    1. FDA meetings for registrational cohort alignment (mid-to-late-2025).

    2. Data readouts from SLE, SSc, myositis cohorts at upcoming medical meetings.

    3. BLA filing in myositis, expected 2027.

    4. Potential partnerships or M&A following strong clinical/regulatory momentum.


    🧭 Investor Takeaway

    • High-risk, high-reward: CABA remains speculative until regulatory approvals or acquisition materialize.

    • Cash runway good through 2026, but watch future dilution/redemptions.

    • Institutional support strong, but recent sell-offs suggest caution and profit-taking.

    • M&A potential is strong if critical data milestones are met, making it a high-beta biotech micro-cap.

    • Best suited for investors with tolerance for biotech volatility and an eye on upcoming newsflows.


    📅 Timeline Summary

    EventExpected Timing
    FDA alignment — myositis registrationalMid–2025
    SLE/LN registrational discussionsQ3 2025
    SSc registrational discussionsQ4 2025
    gMG registrational discussions1H 2026
    Myositis BLA submission2027
    Key data updates from RESET trialsThroughout 2025

Related Articles in 2025:

Will the New developments from Cabaletto Bio (CABA) make it a takeover target? Stay tuned!



Tuesday, April 16, 2013

San Gold Reports 2013 Q1 Production Results



WINNIPEG, MANITOBA--(Marketwired - April 16, 2013) - San Gold Corporation (TSX:SGR)(OTCQX:SGRCF) today announced preliminary results of operations at its Rice Lake Mining Complex in Manitoba, Canada for the quarter ended March 31, 2013.

Q1 Production Highlights

   -  Gold production of 17,354 ounces.                                     
   -  Mill production of 156,013 tons.                                      
   -  Mine production of 143,859 tons.
First Quarter 2013 Preliminary Operating Results

San Gold produced 17,354 ounces of gold in the first quarter. The operation mined 143,859 tons of ore at an average daily rate of 1,598 tons per day and milled 156,013 tons in the quarter at an average daily throughput of 1,733 tons per day, similar rates to the first quarter of 2012. Mill recovery was 91.9% and milled grade was 4.15 grams per tonne.

"Following the recent restructuring, the Company is in the process of implementing reductions to its operating, capital, corporate overhead, and exploration costs as well as evaluating investments that do not directly contribute to the Company's core operations. Our focus will be to optimize margins per ounce and ensure we are on the most direct path to achieving free cash flows," said Ian Berzins, San Gold's President, CEO and Chief Operating Officer. "We anticipate grade will return to more normalized levels as the year progresses."

The Company expects to produce between 75,000 and 90,000 ounces of gold in 2013 with cash costs between $800 and $900.

The Company is also pleased to announce that it has received formal notice from the Manitoba government confirming the renewal of its mineral operating lease, ML-063, for a second 21-year term from April 1, 2013 to April 1, 2034.

About San Gold

San Gold is an established Canadian gold producer, explorer, and developer that owns and operates the Hinge, 007, and Rice Lake mines near Bissett, Manitoba, approximately 235 kilometres northeast of Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada. The Rice Lake Project has a permitted, modern gold mill currently processing ore at a capacity of 2,500 tons per day, modern surface infrastructure including a licensed tailings management facility, and is connected to the Manitoba power grid system. The Company employs approximately 450 people and is committed to the highest standards of safety and environmental stewardship. San Gold is on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol "SGR" and on the OTCQX under the symbol "SGRCF".

For further information on San Gold, please visit www.sangold.ca.

Cautionary Note

This news release includes certain "forward-looking statements". All statements, other than statements of historical fact included in this release, including, without limitation, statements regarding forecast gold production, gold grades, recoveries, cash operating costs, potential mineralization, mineral resources, mineral reserves, exploration results, and future plans and objectives of the Company, are forward-looking statements that involve various risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to mining and processing of mined ore, achieving projected recovery rates, anticipated production rates and mine life, operating efficiencies, costs and expenditures, changes in mineral resources and conversion of mineral resources to proven and probable mineral reserves, and other information that is based on forecasts of future operational or financial results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable and assumptions of management.

Any statements that express or involve discussions with respect to predictions, expectations, beliefs, plans, projections, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance (often, but not always, using words or phrases such as "expects" or "does not expect", "is expected", "anticipates" or "does not anticipate", "plans", "estimates" or "intends", or stating that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will" be taken, occur or be achieved) are not statements of historical fact and may be "forward-looking statements." Forward-looking statements are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events or results to differ from those reflected in the forward-looking statements.

There can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate and actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company's expectations include, among others, the actual results of current exploration activities, conclusions of economic evaluations and changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined as well as future prices of precious metals, as well as those factors discussed in the section entitled "Other MD&A Requirements and Additional Disclosure and Risk Factors" in the Company's most recent quarterly Management's Analysis and Discussion ("MD&A"). Although the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
No stock exchange, securities commission or other regulatory authority has approved or disapproved the information contained herein.
CONTACT INFORMATION:
San Gold Corporation
Ian Berzins
President and CEO, Chief Operating Officer
Toll Free: 1 (855) 585-4653

or

San Gold Corporation
Tim Friesen
Communications Director
Toll Free: 1 (855) 585-4653
info1@sangold.ca
www.sangold.ca

Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Cormack Securities iniates coverage of Talison Lithium, with a buy recommendation.



Talison Lithium Limited (TLH - TSX)
Fortifying Its Position As A Top Producer - Thursday, March 10, 2011

 
Over the last 12 months, Talison Lithium has made significant strides in growing its investor base and solidifying its position as the largest producer of lithium concentrate in the world. The company recently completed the first phase of expansionary work at its wholly owned Greenbushes mine near Perth, Australia and has set out to double its production capacity to an estimated 110,000tpy LCE per by F2013. Concurrent with its recent listing on the TSX, the company also purchased the Salares 7 lithium brine project in Chile. As such, Talison offers investors exposure to its current and growing spodumene production at Greenbushes, exploration upside from the brine projects at Salares 7 as well as leverage to accelerating lithium demand. Our outlook for the lithium sector remains positive. Demand for lithium, driven primarily by the growth of electric vehicles, is set to grow exponentially over the longer term. On the supply side, while there is no shortage of lithium deposits, customers are becoming highly discriminating, valuing security and quality of long-term supply. This is a customer base that Talison is ideally suited to satisfy.