"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label Google. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Google. Show all posts

Friday, June 13, 2025

Nuclear Fusion: Could it be the most important tech revolution since fire?

 


Several public companies are actively advancing fusion energy technology—some directly and others via investments, partnerships, or spinouts. Here’s a breakdown of the most relevant public companies, their role in fusion, and how far along they are:


๐Ÿ”ฌ Direct Fusion Developers (Public or Public via SPAC/IPO Route)

1. TAE Technologies (via potential IPO partner)

  • Not yet public, but may go public soon (rumored).

  • Partnered with: Google, Sumitomo, Chevron, and others.

  • Focus: Field-reversed configuration (FRC) fusion.

  • Stage: Late prototype phase (Norman machine tested; Copernicus under development).

  • Revenue: None (pre-commercial).

➡️ Closest public exposure: through Google (Alphabet - NASDAQ: GOOGL), which supports TAE’s AI modeling.


2. Helion Energy (indirect via Microsoft & OpenAI links)

  • Private, but has agreements with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) for power purchase starting 2028.

  • Backed by Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO) and funded over $600M+.

  • Stage: Working on its seventh prototype “Polaris” aiming for net energy in 2024–2025.

  • Approach: Pulsed, magneto-inertial fusion (deuterium-helium-3).

➡️ Indirect public exposure: through Microsoft’s deal & Nvidia’s AI involvement.


3. General Fusion

  • Still private, backed by Bezos Expeditions and Canadian government.

  • Uses magnetized target fusion (MTF).

  • Stage: Demo plant being built in the UK; not yet achieving net energy.

➡️ Public exposure via partners like Schneider Electric (EPA: SU) and potential future IPO.


⚛️ Public Companies with Fusion Stakes, Investments, or Tech Exposure

4. Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL)

  • Invested in TAE Technologies since 2014.

  • Provides AI tools for modeling plasma physics.

  • Exposure is indirect, but increasing.


5. Chevron (NYSE: CVX)

  • Invested in TAE Technologies and Zap Energy.

  • Actively seeking clean energy diversification via fusion R&D partnerships.


6. Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT)

  • Has a Skunk Works compact fusion reactor program.

  • Approach: High-beta magnetic mirror machine.

  • Stage: Prototype still under wraps; unproven if scalable yet.


7. BWX Technologies (NYSE: BWXT)

  • Designs nuclear reactors and components; has contractual work supporting fusion R&D (including work with the U.S. DOE and national labs).

  • Strong positioning as a supplier for fusion devices in the long term.


๐Ÿงช Companies with Research or Supply Chain Roles

8. Honeywell International (NASDAQ: HON)

  • Involved in advanced materials, control systems, and diagnostics used in plasma and reactor control.

  • May benefit as a supplier or integrator.

9. Cameco (NYSE: CCJ / TSX: CCO)

  • World’s largest uranium supplier, and could benefit if tritium breeding becomes commercially viable in deuterium-tritium fusion.


๐Ÿ”ฎ Most Advanced Fusion Developers (Private, but IPO Possible Soon)

CompanyCurrent StatusEnergy Gain?Target DeploymentPublic Access
Helion EnergyBuilding PolarisExpected 2024By 2028 (MSFT deal)Not yet, via MSFT
TAE TechnologiesDeveloping CopernicusNo2030sNot yet, via GOOG
General FusionDemo plant buildingNo~2030Private
First Light FusionUK-based, uses projectile impact fusionNoLate 2020s–2030sPrivate

๐Ÿ’ก Summary: Public Companies You Can Buy Now with Fusion Exposure

CompanyTickerRole in FusionDevelopment Stage
AlphabetGOOG/GOOGLTAE Technologies investorR&D support
MicrosoftMSFTPower-purchase deal w/ HelionCommercialization target 2028
ChevronCVXInvestor in TAE & ZapDiversification into clean energy
LockheedLMTCompact fusion R&DPrototype-only
BWX TechBWXTComponent supplierSteady nuclear work
HoneywellHONControls & materialsSupport role

If you're looking for direct exposure to pure-play fusion, no company is publicly listed yet—but Helion, TAE, and Zap Energy are the most likely IPO candidates in the next 2–3 years.

Here’s a two-part response for a potential fusion-themed investment portfolio, blending current public exposure with speculative positioning for future IPOs:


✅ PART 1: Fusion-Linked Public Portfolio Strategy (2025)

These companies either invest in fusion developers, supply critical technology, or stand to benefit from commercialization.

TickerCompanyRole in FusionAllocation (%)Rationale
GOOG / GOOGLAlphabetInvestor in TAE Technologies25%AI support and early fusion R&D exposure through TAE. Also exposed to AI and quantum.
MSFTMicrosoftFusion power offtake agreement with Helion Energy25%First fusion-related energy buyer. Strong play on applied AI and commercial deployment.
CVXChevronInvestor in multiple fusion ventures15%Early mover among oil majors diversifying into fusion.
LMTLockheed MartinProprietary compact fusion project via Skunk Works10%High-risk, high-reward. Long R&D cycle.
BWXTBWX TechnologiesSupplier to DOE & nuclear fusion systems10%Strong play on infrastructure and manufacturing know-how.
HONHoneywellSystems integration, sensors, materials10%Likely supplier for industrialized fusion plants.
Cash or Bonds-For future IPOs or market volatility5%Hold for IPOs (TAE, Helion, General Fusion, Zap Energy).

๐Ÿš€ PART 2: Speculative Fusion IPO Watchlist (2025–2027)

These private companies are furthest along in fusion and could IPO in the coming years:

CompanyApproachWhy It MattersIPO Outlook
Helion EnergyMagneto-inertial pulsed fusionFirst to have utility contract (Microsoft); aims for net energy by 2025High potential by 2026
TAE TechnologiesField-reversed configurationLargest private funding, strong industrial partners (Google, Chevron, Japan’s Sumitomo)IPO likely 2025–2026
Zap EnergySheared-flow stabilized Z-pinchUltra-simple architecture, compact reactor designLater-stage, maybe 2026+
General FusionMagnetized target fusionBacked by Bezos, demo plant in UK underwayMay IPO via Canadian or UK route by 2026
First Light FusionInertial projectile (UK)Unique projectile fusion approachMay go public in London by 2025

๐Ÿ”ฎ Optional "Aggressive Edge" Plays

speculative bets:

  • Consider small positions in Nvidia (NVDA) for AI-modeling fusion physics and software.

  • Watch for Canadian defense or nuclear companies potentially supporting General Fusion (e.g., SNC-Lavalin / AtkinsRรฉalis).


๐Ÿ“Œ Final Thoughts

  • Short-term: Play the enablers (MSFT, GOOG, BWXT).

  • Mid-term: Watch for IPOs and allocate cash accordingly.

  • Long-term: If even one private fusion developer delivers commercial net-positive energy, valuations for all related names will re-rate.

Wednesday, April 30, 2025

No longer just a search engine (Google) Alphabet Inc. is demonstrating robust growth and innovation across its AI, quantum computing, and autonomous vehicle segments


Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) Investment & Business Report – April 2025


Executive Summary

Alphabet Inc., the parent company of Google, continues to solidify its position as a leader in artificial intelligence (AI), quantum computing, autonomous vehicles, and data infrastructure. With robust financial performance and strategic partnerships, Alphabet is poised for sustained growth heading into 2026.


Artificial Intelligence (AI) Innovations

Gemini 2.0 and AI Ecosystem

In December 2024, Google unveiled Gemini 2.0, a multimodal AI model capable of generating audio and images. This model enhances functionalities across Google's products, including AI Overviews in Search, Project Astra, Project Mariner, and Jules for coding assistance. Gemini 2.0 represents a foundation for the emerging era of agentic AI, with broader deployment expected in the coming year.The Verge+2The Verge+2blog.google+2

AI Overviews and User Reach

As of Q1 2025, Google's AI Overviews in Search reach over 1.5 billion users monthly. Originally launched in May 2024, AI Overviews have expanded in functionality, now covering a broader range of queries and incorporating ads to compete with other AI search tools like ChatGPT Search and Perplexity.The Verge


Quantum Computing Advancements

Willow Quantum Chip

In December 2024, Google introduced Willow, a 105-qubit superconducting quantum processor. Willow achieved a benchmark computation in under five minutes that would take today's fastest supercomputers 10 septillion years, demonstrating its potential for solving complex problems beyond the reach of classical computers.Google Cloud+6Wikipedia+6blog.google+6blog.google+1Wikipedia+1



Commercialization Outlook

Google's head of Quantum AI, Hartmut Neven, predicts that commercial quantum computing applications will be realized within five years, with innovations in fields like materials science, medicine, and energy.thequantuminsider.com+1Wikipedia+1


Waymo: Autonomous Vehicle Leadership

Operational Expansion

Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous ride-hailing arm, continues expanding its service across the U.S., including new cities like Austin, Atlanta, and internationally in Tokyo. 

The company now operates over 250,000 rides weekly in U.S. cities including San Francisco, Los Angeles, Phoenix, and Austin, with planned expansions to Atlanta, Miami, and Washington, DC.Barron's+5Investor's Business Daily+5Waymo+5Barron's+2Business Insider+2Waymo+2



Strategic Partnerships

Waymo has announced plans to explore a collaboration with Toyota to accelerate the development of autonomous driving technologies. As part of the potential partnership, 

Toyota will build a new autonomous vehicle platform to be integrated into Waymo’s self-driving fleet. 

Additionally, the companies aim to jointly enhance next-generation personally owned vehicles using Waymo's autonomous vehicle technology.Forbes+3Reuters+3Waymo+3


Data Infrastructure and AI Synergy

Alphabet's extensive data infrastructure supports its AI and quantum computing initiatives. The company's data centers provide the computational power necessary for training large AI models and conducting complex quantum simulations. This synergy between data infrastructure and advanced technologies positions Alphabet to maintain its competitive edge.


Financial Performance

Q1 2025 Highlights

Cash Position

As of March 31, 2024, Alphabet reported operating cash flow of $28.8 billion for the quarter, reflecting strong liquidity to support ongoing investments in AI, quantum computing, and other strategic areas.SEC


Stock Performance and Outlook

Alphabet's stock (GOOGL) is currently trading at $160.16, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.88 trillion. The company maintains a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.91, indicating strong investor confidence.Yahoo Finance


Conclusion

Alphabet Inc. demonstrates robust growth and innovation across its AI, quantum computing, and autonomous vehicle segments. With strong financials and strategic partnerships, the company is well-positioned to continue its leadership in the technology sector heading into 2026.


Recent Developments in Alphabet's Strategic Initiatives

Thursday, March 27, 2025

Google's advancements in all three of the most prolific new technologies, it's large online footprint, cash position and financials are compelling!

 


Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has recently experienced a pullback in its stock price, presenting a potential opportunity for investors. As of March 27, 2025, GOOG is trading at $166.51, down from its 52-week high of $208.70 reached on February 4, 2025.​Key Metrics


Open166.84
Day Range165.58 - 167.94
52 Week Range148.20 - 208.70
Volume6.4M

Alphabet's strategic investments in emerging technologies underscore its commitment to innovation and diversification:

  • Waymo:

    Alphabet's autonomous driving subsidiary has expanded its robotaxi services to cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles, managing over 150,000 weekly trips.AP News

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI):

    The company continues to advance its AI capabilities, with the Gemini 2.0 model and custom AI chips like Trillium enhancing its competitive edge.Financial Times+1Barron's+1

  • Quantum Computing:

    Alphabet unveiled its quantum computing chip, Willow, capable of performing complex calculations in minutes that would take classical computers an impractical amount of time.Apple Podcasts+3en.wikipedia.org+3Financial Times+3

These initiatives position Alphabet at the forefront of technological innovation, potentially driving long-term growth. However, it's essential to consider factors such as market volatility, regulatory challenges, and the competitive landscape. Consulting with a financial advisor is recommended to ensure alignment with your investment goals and risk tolerance.​

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), the parent company of Google, stands as a global leader in technology, offering a diverse portfolio that spans search, advertising, cloud computing, and cutting-edge innovations in autonomous vehicles, artificial intelligence (AI), and quantum computing. This report provides an in-depth analysis of Alphabet's ventures in these key areas, alongside a comprehensive overview of its current business operations, financial performance, strategic partnerships, client base, institutional investors, cash position, and competitive landscape.

1. Technological Innovations

a. Waymo (Autonomous Vehicles):

Waymo now serves over 150,000 driverless rides every single week!



Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous driving subsidiary, has made significant strides in the self-driving car industry. In October 2024, Waymo secured a $5.6 billion funding round led by Alphabet, with participation from investors such as Andreessen Horowitz, Fidelity, and Tiger Global. This capital infusion aims to expand Waymo's robotaxi services beyond existing markets like San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Phoenix to new cities including Austin and Atlanta. As of late 2024, Waymo's autonomous vehicles were completing approximately 150,000 trips per week, reflecting rapid growth in user adoption.Investor's Business Daily+2The Verge+2Axios+2Investor's Business Daily

b. Artificial Intelligence (AI):



Alphabet continues to advance its AI capabilities, notably through the development of the Gemini 2.0 model. Announced in December 2024, Gemini 2.0 offers enhanced performance with swift response times. Complementary projects like Project Mariner, an AI agent assisting users with real-time tasks, and Jules, a coding assistant, further demonstrate Alphabet's commitment to integrating AI across its product offerings.Barron's

c. Quantum Computing:


In December 2024, Alphabet unveiled "Willow," a quantum computing chip capable of solving complex problems in under five minutes—a task that would take current supercomputers an impractical amount of time. This breakthrough positions Alphabet at the forefront of quantum computing, with potential applications in fields such as drug discovery, fusion energy, and battery design.New York Post

2. Current Business Operations and Financial Performance

Alphabet's business model is predominantly driven by advertising revenue, supplemented by its growing cloud computing services and hardware sales.
In the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, Alphabet reported total revenues of $282.8 billion, marking a 12% year-over-year increase. Net income for the same period was $100.1 billion, with diluted earnings per share of $8.04. The company's robust financial performance underscores its ability to monetize its diverse product ecosystem effectively.DEV Community

3. Strategic Partnerships and Client Base

Alphabet maintains a vast network of partnerships across various industries:

  • Waymo Collaborations: Waymo has partnered with Uber to integrate its autonomous vehicles into the Uber app in select cities, enhancing the accessibility of its robotaxi services.The Verge

  • Cloud Computing Clients: Google Cloud serves a diverse clientele, ranging from startups to large enterprises, offering AI-driven solutions, infrastructure, and productivity tools. Notable clients include major corporations across sectors such as finance, healthcare, and retail.InsiderFinance Wire+1DEV Community+1

4. Institutional Investors and Cash Position

As of January 28, 2025, Alphabet had 5.833 million shares of Class A stock outstanding, 860 million shares of Class B stock, and 5.497 million shares of Class C stock. The company's stock ownership is concentrated, with co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin beneficially owning approximately 52.1% of the voting power. Alphabet's strong cash position, bolstered by substantial cash reserves, provides flexibility for strategic investments and cushioning against market volatility.Alphabet Investor RelationsTrendSpider

5. Competitive Landscape

Alphabet operates in a highly competitive environment:

  • Advertising: Competitors include Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) and emerging social media platforms vying for digital advertising market share.

  • Cloud Computing:


    Google Cloud competes with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure, both of which hold significant market shares in the cloud infrastructure sector.

  • AI and Quantum Computing: In AI, Alphabet faces competition from companies like OpenAI and Microsoft. In quantum computing, rivals include IBM and emerging startups dedicated to advancing quantum technologies.

6. Conclusion

Alphabet Inc.'s strategic investments in autonomous vehicles, AI, and quantum computing position it as a leader in technological innovation. Its robust financial performance, strategic partnerships, and strong cash reserves underscore its resilience and capacity for sustained growth. However, investors should remain cognizant of the competitive pressures and regulatory challenges inherent in the technology sector.

Ed Note:

We began "inching" into GOOG stock this week!​