"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label Honeywell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Honeywell. Show all posts

Friday, June 13, 2025

Nuclear Fusion: Could it be the most important tech revolution since fire?

 


Several public companies are actively advancing fusion energy technology—some directly and others via investments, partnerships, or spinouts. Here’s a breakdown of the most relevant public companies, their role in fusion, and how far along they are:


๐Ÿ”ฌ Direct Fusion Developers (Public or Public via SPAC/IPO Route)

1. TAE Technologies (via potential IPO partner)

  • Not yet public, but may go public soon (rumored).

  • Partnered with: Google, Sumitomo, Chevron, and others.

  • Focus: Field-reversed configuration (FRC) fusion.

  • Stage: Late prototype phase (Norman machine tested; Copernicus under development).

  • Revenue: None (pre-commercial).

➡️ Closest public exposure: through Google (Alphabet - NASDAQ: GOOGL), which supports TAE’s AI modeling.


2. Helion Energy (indirect via Microsoft & OpenAI links)

  • Private, but has agreements with Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) for power purchase starting 2028.

  • Backed by Sam Altman (OpenAI CEO) and funded over $600M+.

  • Stage: Working on its seventh prototype “Polaris” aiming for net energy in 2024–2025.

  • Approach: Pulsed, magneto-inertial fusion (deuterium-helium-3).

➡️ Indirect public exposure: through Microsoft’s deal & Nvidia’s AI involvement.


3. General Fusion

  • Still private, backed by Bezos Expeditions and Canadian government.

  • Uses magnetized target fusion (MTF).

  • Stage: Demo plant being built in the UK; not yet achieving net energy.

➡️ Public exposure via partners like Schneider Electric (EPA: SU) and potential future IPO.


⚛️ Public Companies with Fusion Stakes, Investments, or Tech Exposure

4. Alphabet (GOOG/GOOGL)

  • Invested in TAE Technologies since 2014.

  • Provides AI tools for modeling plasma physics.

  • Exposure is indirect, but increasing.


5. Chevron (NYSE: CVX)

  • Invested in TAE Technologies and Zap Energy.

  • Actively seeking clean energy diversification via fusion R&D partnerships.


6. Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT)

  • Has a Skunk Works compact fusion reactor program.

  • Approach: High-beta magnetic mirror machine.

  • Stage: Prototype still under wraps; unproven if scalable yet.


7. BWX Technologies (NYSE: BWXT)

  • Designs nuclear reactors and components; has contractual work supporting fusion R&D (including work with the U.S. DOE and national labs).

  • Strong positioning as a supplier for fusion devices in the long term.


๐Ÿงช Companies with Research or Supply Chain Roles

8. Honeywell International (NASDAQ: HON)

  • Involved in advanced materials, control systems, and diagnostics used in plasma and reactor control.

  • May benefit as a supplier or integrator.

9. Cameco (NYSE: CCJ / TSX: CCO)

  • World’s largest uranium supplier, and could benefit if tritium breeding becomes commercially viable in deuterium-tritium fusion.


๐Ÿ”ฎ Most Advanced Fusion Developers (Private, but IPO Possible Soon)

CompanyCurrent StatusEnergy Gain?Target DeploymentPublic Access
Helion EnergyBuilding PolarisExpected 2024By 2028 (MSFT deal)Not yet, via MSFT
TAE TechnologiesDeveloping CopernicusNo2030sNot yet, via GOOG
General FusionDemo plant buildingNo~2030Private
First Light FusionUK-based, uses projectile impact fusionNoLate 2020s–2030sPrivate

๐Ÿ’ก Summary: Public Companies You Can Buy Now with Fusion Exposure

CompanyTickerRole in FusionDevelopment Stage
AlphabetGOOG/GOOGLTAE Technologies investorR&D support
MicrosoftMSFTPower-purchase deal w/ HelionCommercialization target 2028
ChevronCVXInvestor in TAE & ZapDiversification into clean energy
LockheedLMTCompact fusion R&DPrototype-only
BWX TechBWXTComponent supplierSteady nuclear work
HoneywellHONControls & materialsSupport role

If you're looking for direct exposure to pure-play fusion, no company is publicly listed yet—but Helion, TAE, and Zap Energy are the most likely IPO candidates in the next 2–3 years.

Here’s a two-part response for a potential fusion-themed investment portfolio, blending current public exposure with speculative positioning for future IPOs:


✅ PART 1: Fusion-Linked Public Portfolio Strategy (2025)

These companies either invest in fusion developers, supply critical technology, or stand to benefit from commercialization.

TickerCompanyRole in FusionAllocation (%)Rationale
GOOG / GOOGLAlphabetInvestor in TAE Technologies25%AI support and early fusion R&D exposure through TAE. Also exposed to AI and quantum.
MSFTMicrosoftFusion power offtake agreement with Helion Energy25%First fusion-related energy buyer. Strong play on applied AI and commercial deployment.
CVXChevronInvestor in multiple fusion ventures15%Early mover among oil majors diversifying into fusion.
LMTLockheed MartinProprietary compact fusion project via Skunk Works10%High-risk, high-reward. Long R&D cycle.
BWXTBWX TechnologiesSupplier to DOE & nuclear fusion systems10%Strong play on infrastructure and manufacturing know-how.
HONHoneywellSystems integration, sensors, materials10%Likely supplier for industrialized fusion plants.
Cash or Bonds-For future IPOs or market volatility5%Hold for IPOs (TAE, Helion, General Fusion, Zap Energy).

๐Ÿš€ PART 2: Speculative Fusion IPO Watchlist (2025–2027)

These private companies are furthest along in fusion and could IPO in the coming years:

CompanyApproachWhy It MattersIPO Outlook
Helion EnergyMagneto-inertial pulsed fusionFirst to have utility contract (Microsoft); aims for net energy by 2025High potential by 2026
TAE TechnologiesField-reversed configurationLargest private funding, strong industrial partners (Google, Chevron, Japan’s Sumitomo)IPO likely 2025–2026
Zap EnergySheared-flow stabilized Z-pinchUltra-simple architecture, compact reactor designLater-stage, maybe 2026+
General FusionMagnetized target fusionBacked by Bezos, demo plant in UK underwayMay IPO via Canadian or UK route by 2026
First Light FusionInertial projectile (UK)Unique projectile fusion approachMay go public in London by 2025

๐Ÿ”ฎ Optional "Aggressive Edge" Plays

speculative bets:

  • Consider small positions in Nvidia (NVDA) for AI-modeling fusion physics and software.

  • Watch for Canadian defense or nuclear companies potentially supporting General Fusion (e.g., SNC-Lavalin / AtkinsRรฉalis).


๐Ÿ“Œ Final Thoughts

  • Short-term: Play the enablers (MSFT, GOOG, BWXT).

  • Mid-term: Watch for IPOs and allocate cash accordingly.

  • Long-term: If even one private fusion developer delivers commercial net-positive energy, valuations for all related names will re-rate.

Wednesday, January 1, 2025

Quantum Ai is said by some pundits, to be a decade away. Is it really? As Technology grows exponentially, we explore 12 leaders in the field!

 


The convergence of AI and quantum computing is an exciting frontier that could see significant developments in 2025. Here’s how advancements in 2025 might catalyze this union:


1. Quantum-Enhanced AI Models

  • Breakthroughs in Algorithms: Researchers are expected to refine quantum algorithms like Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) and Quantum Support Vector Machines, making them more applicable to real-world AI problems.
  • Hybrid Quantum-Classical Workflows: Companies might deploy hybrid models where quantum computers handle complex computations (like feature optimization) while classical systems process larger-scale AI tasks.
  • Generative AI: Quantum computers could accelerate training for generative AI models by reducing time for probabilistic sampling, a core process for generative adversarial networks (GANs) and transformers.

2. Hardware Synergies

  • Advances in Quantum Hardware: Improved qubit stability and coherence times will enable quantum computers to run more complex AI tasks.
  • AI-Assisted Quantum Development: AI can optimize the control of qubits and error-correction techniques, pushing quantum hardware toward scalability.
  • Edge Quantum Processors: Early prototypes of quantum processors integrated into cloud or edge AI systems could debut.

3. Enhanced Optimization and Problem-Solving
Optimization is D-Wave's specialty

  • AI + Quantum for Optimization: Industries requiring heavy optimization (e.g., logistics, finance, drug discovery) will adopt quantum-accelerated AI for solving previously intractable problems.
  • Energy Efficiency: Quantum AI could substantially reduce the energy required for training and running large AI models, addressing growing concerns about the carbon footprint of AI.

4. Real-World Applications
Healthcare will never be the same!

  • Healthcare: AI-powered quantum systems may revolutionize drug discovery by efficiently simulating molecular interactions and identifying optimal compounds.
  • Finance: Quantum-enhanced AI models for portfolio optimization, fraud detection, and risk assessment could become a key industry focus.
  • Materials Science: By combining AI’s predictive capabilities with quantum’s simulation strength, researchers can develop new materials for technologies like better batteries or advanced semiconductors. IE: A quantum battery is a type of electric battery that uses the principles of quantum mechanics to store energy. They have the potential to be more efficient and powerful than traditional batteries.

    Quantum batteries are in the early stages of development.[1] Wikipedia


5. Expanding the Ecosystem

  • Partnerships and Investments: Quantum computing startups (e.g., Rigetti, IonQ, PsiQuantum) will likely partner with AI giants like OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and IBM to drive integrated solutions.
  • Open-Source Development: Initiatives like Hugging Face for AI or IBM’s Qiskit for quantum may start offering toolkits that merge AI and quantum development environments.
  • Talent and Training: Universities and training platforms will increasingly offer interdisciplinary programs focused on quantum-AI integration.

6. Generative AI Meets Quantum Creativity

  • Quantum-Assisted Creativity: Generative models like ChatGPT or DALL·E might leverage quantum computing for exploring larger creative possibilities in art, music, and design.

Challenges That May Persist

  • Scalability: Scaling quantum systems to handle industrial-scale AI problems remains a major challenge.
  • Error Correction: Quantum systems still struggle with noise and errors, limiting their reliability. This is one of quantum's most immediate problems.
  • Integration Costs: High costs and infrastructure demands may delay widespread adoption of quantum-AI solutions. This may favor the giants over the up and comers!

In 2025, we can expect quantum and AI technologies to start building foundational synergies, with breakthroughs coming in hardware, algorithms, and applied fields. Although full convergence may still be years away, this period will mark critical milestones in their integration.

Google and IBM are leading the Qai race!


Several companies are actively working at the intersection of AI and quantum computing, aiming to create breakthroughs that unite these transformative technologies. 

Here's a look at 10 of the leading players:


1. Google (Alphabet)

  • Why They're Leading: Google has made significant strides in both quantum computing (with Sycamore, their quantum processor) and AI (via Google DeepMind).
  • Recent Developments:
    • Google's AI and Quantum teams are collaborating to explore quantum advantage for AI workloads.
    • DeepMind researchers are investigating quantum-inspired algorithms to enhance neural networks.
  • Key Goal: Use quantum systems to optimize large-scale AI models and solve combinatorial AI problems.

2. IBM

  • Why They're Leading: IBM is a pioneer in both quantum (IBM Quantum) and AI (Watson AI).
  • Recent Developments:
    • Released Qiskit Machine Learning, a quantum library for AI model development.
    • Collaborating with industries like healthcare and finance to develop hybrid quantum-AI solutions.
  • Key Goal: Integrate quantum capabilities into IBM Watson to boost decision-making and optimization.

3. Microsoft

  • Why They're Leading: Microsoft Azure Quantum and Azure AI are already part of the same ecosystem, enabling hybrid workflows.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Developing quantum-inspired optimization algorithms for AI applications.
    • Focus on integrating quantum simulators with Azure cloud AI tools.
  • Key Goal: Provide cloud-based platforms that seamlessly combine AI and quantum technologies.

4. IonQ
Illustration of IONQ's new Quantum facility
in Seattle

  • Why They're Leading: IonQ is focused on deploying quantum systems for practical AI tasks.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Partnered with companies like Amazon and Microsoft to integrate their quantum processors with existing AI cloud tools.
    • Their focus includes AI-enhanced quantum error correction and optimization problems.
  • Key Goal: Make quantum-AI integration accessible through cloud and hybrid workflows.
  • In November 2024, IonQ demonstrated an end-to-end application workflow leveraging NVIDIA's CUDA-Q platform alongside its quantum hardware. This collaboration aims to make quantum acceleration as accessible as GPU acceleration for on-premises and hybrid deployments, particularly in applications like molecular modeling relevant to pharmaceuticals.

5. Nvidia
Quantum Simulation Nvidia

  • Why They're Leading: Nvidia is advancing AI with its GPUs and exploring quantum computing through partnerships and simulation tools.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Developing quantum simulators optimized for AI workloads.
    • Collaborating with quantum companies to create quantum-AI development frameworks.
  • Key Goal: Build hardware and software bridges between AI training processes and quantum systems.

6. Rigetti Computing

  • Why They're Leading: Rigetti focuses on practical quantum applications, including AI.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Collaborating with DARPA to explore quantum-enhanced machine learning.
    • Developed hybrid quantum-classical frameworks for AI applications.
  • Key Goal: Push quantum integration into applied AI domains like healthcare and logistics.

7. PsiQuantum

  • Why They're Leading: PsiQuantum is developing photonic quantum computers, with a strong focus on large-scale AI applications.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Highlighted the potential for their photonic systems to simulate AI models more efficiently.
    • Building systems geared toward high-dimensional optimization problems.
  • Key Goal: Create scalable quantum systems that can accelerate AI at industrial levels.

8. Amazon (AWS)

  • Why They're Leading: AWS Braket (quantum) and Amazon's AI services operate within a unified cloud infrastructure.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Launched hybrid services that allow developers to combine quantum and AI workflows.
    • Experimenting with quantum-enhanced natural language processing (NLP) for AI services.
  • Key Goal: Provide a developer-friendly platform for quantum-AI experimentation and deployment.

9. Xanadu

  • Why They're Leading: Xanadu’s quantum machine learning library (PennyLane) has been instrumental in quantum-AI research.
  • Recent Developments:
    • Focused on creating quantum algorithms for deep learning and reinforcement learning.
    • Partnered with global research institutions to advance quantum-AI hybrid models.
  • Key Goal: Democratize access to quantum-enhanced AI tools for researchers and developers.

10. C3.ai

  • Why They're Leading: While primarily an AI company, C3.ai is exploring partnerships with quantum computing firms to enhance AI efficiency.
  • Recent Developments:
    • In discussions to leverage quantum technology for generative AI and large-scale data optimization.
  • Key Goal: Use quantum computing to create competitive differentiation in enterprise AI solutions.

Emerging Contenders:

  • D-Wave: Specializing in quantum annealing for optimization-heavy AI tasks.

  •  D-Wave has recently formed a strategic partnership with Staque, a consulting and development firm specializing in AI, blockchain, and quantum computing. This alliance aims to accelerate the adoption of annealing quantum computing across the Middle East, focusing on optimization and AI applications.

    The partnership was announced during Qubits UAE in Dubai, a segment of D-Wave's annual user conference, highlighting the growing interest in quantum computing solutions within the region. Together, D-Wave and Staque plan to assist clients in developing and deploying quantum and hybrid quantum applications tailored to specific industry needs.

    This collaboration underscores D-Wave's commitment to expanding its global presence and fostering the integration of quantum computing technologies in diverse sectors.

  • OpenAI:

    Potentially leveraging partnerships with quantum startups to future-proof its AI models. (Now a question, which Quantum startup might Open Ai choose....hmmmm!)

These companies are at various stages of integrating quantum and AI, with strong momentum expected in 2025 as hybrid systems and practical applications emerge.

ED Note:

We are now long GOOG, IBM, IONQ, QBTS AI and HON

PP: We bought Honeywell for it's ownership of Quantinuum

Why Quantinuum Matters

  1. Unique Positioning:

    • Quantinuum is a merger between Honeywell Quantum Solutions and Cambridge Quantum, making it one of the largest and most well-rounded quantum computing companies globally.
    • Its work spans quantum hardware, software, and applications, including a strong focus on AI.
  2. AI + Quantum Integration:

    • tket: Quantinuum's quantum software stack supports hybrid quantum-AI workflows, making it easier for researchers to integrate quantum computing into AI applications.
    • They have actively explored quantum machine learning, particularly in areas like natural language processing (NLP) and data optimization.
  3. Recent Collaborations:

    • Quantinuum has worked with leading AI companies and researchers to demonstrate the potential of quantum computing in enhancing AI tasks like data clustering and predictive modeling.
    • Their tools are widely used in AI research, with partnerships in fields like drug discovery (Pfizer) and materials science (BMW).
  4. Generative AI and Cybersecurity:

    • Quantinuum has applied quantum technology to secure AI-generated content and enhance cybersecurity—a growing concern in generative AI.

  •  Like it's competitor, IONQ, Quantinuum is also a leader in Trapped ION Technology!

Related Articles:



Thursday, December 19, 2024

Advancing the use of Logical qubits as investor interest in quantum computing companies heats up!

 Investment Report: Advancing Logical Qubits - Google Quantum AI, IBM, and Quantinuum

1. Google Quantum AI

Overview

Google Quantum AI is a division of Alphabet Inc., the publicly traded parent company listed on the NASDAQ under the ticker GOOGL. Google leads in quantum computing breakthroughs, including error-corrected logical qubits.

Financials

  • Market Cap: ~$1.8 trillion (as of December 2024).

  • Annual Revenue: ~$300 billion.

  • Quantum Division Revenue: Not separately disclosed but part of Alphabet’s “Other Bets.”

  • Stock Price: Approximately $135/share (fluctuates based on market conditions).

Technology Advancements

  • Google’s Willow Quantum Chip demonstrated exponential error reduction using logical qubits.

  • Achieved quantum supremacy with computations far beyond classical capabilities.

Clients and Investors

  • Clients: Governments, academic institutions, and corporations engaged in quantum research.

  • Investors: Public shareholders of Alphabet Inc.

Collaborations and Partnerships

  • Collaborations with NASA and academic institutions.

  • Partnerships with private quantum startups for integration into Google’s cloud services.

How to Invest

Investors can buy Alphabet shares on the NASDAQ.


2. IBM Quantum

Overview

IBM Quantum is a division of IBM Corporation, a publicly traded company listed on the NYSE under the ticker IBM. The company is a pioneer in quantum computing, with a roadmap targeting fault-tolerant logical qubits.

Financials

  • Market Cap: ~$120 billion (as of December 2024)

  • Annual Revenue: ~$60 billion

  • Quantum Division Revenue: Estimated in the hundreds of millions but growing rapidly.

  • Stock Price: Approximately $150/share (fluctuates based on market conditions).

Technology Advancements

  • IBM’s Quantum System Two focuses on scalability and fault-tolerant logical qubits.

  • Advanced surface codes enable robust error correction.

  • Aims to scale to thousands of logical qubits by the 2030s.

Clients and Investors

  • Clients: ExxonMobil, Daimler, JP Morgan Chase, and various academic institutions.

  • Investors: Public shareholders of IBM.

Collaborations and Partnerships

  • Partnerships with major universities for quantum research.

  • Collaborations with enterprises like Samsung and Boehringer Ingelheim for specific quantum applications.

How to Invest

Investors can buy IBM shares through major stock exchanges like the NYSE.


3. Quantinuum

Overview

Quantinuum is a privately held company formed by the merger of Honeywell Quantum Solutions and Cambridge Quantum. It focuses on trapped-ion technology for error correction and logical qubits.

Financials

  • Ownership: Jointly owned by Honeywell International (majority stake) and private investors.

  • Revenue: Estimated in the tens of millions, primarily from enterprise and research clients.

  • Investment Opportunities: Not publicly traded; potential investments could come through Honeywell or future private funding rounds.

Technology Advancements

  • Trapped-ion systems provide high fidelity and stability for logical qubits.

  • Integrates quantum software solutions with hardware for seamless application.

Clients and Investors

  • Clients: Pharmaceutical companies, national defense agencies, and academic research institutions.

  • Investors: Honeywell International and venture capital firms.

Collaborations and Partnerships

  • Strategic partnerships with Microsoft Azure and other cloud providers.

  • Collaborations with academic institutions and private sector research organizations.

How to Invest

Indirect investment opportunities exist by purchasing shares of Honeywell International (ticker HON) or by participating in future funding rounds if Quantinuum goes public.


Institutional investors 

hold significant positions in companies advancing logical qubit technology, such as Alphabet Inc. (Google's parent company), IBM, and Honeywell International. Below is an overview of the major institutional stakeholders in these companies:

1. Alphabet Inc. (Ticker: GOOGL)

  • Vanguard Group Inc.: Approximately 7.5% ownership, making it one of the largest shareholders.

  • BlackRock Inc.: Holds about 6.4% of Alphabet's shares.

  • FMR LLC (Fidelity Management & Research): Owns around 4.5% of the company.

  • State Street Corporation: Maintains a stake of approximately 3.5%.

  • Geode Capital Management LLC: Holds about 1.8% of Alphabet's shares.

These institutional investors collectively own a substantial portion of Alphabet, reflecting strong confidence in the company's technological advancements and market position.

2. IBM (Ticker: IBM)

  • Vanguard Group Inc.: The largest shareholder, owning approximately 9.77% of IBM's shares.

  • BlackRock Inc.: Holds about 8% of the company's shares.

  • State Street Corporation: Owns roughly 5.9% of IBM.

  • Geode Capital Management LLC: Maintains a stake of approximately 1.6%.

  • Northern Trust Corporation: Holds about 1.3% of IBM's shares.

These institutional holdings indicate a strong institutional interest in IBM's ongoing developments in quantum computing and other technologies.

3. Honeywell International Inc. (Ticker: HON)

  • Vanguard Group Inc.: The largest shareholder, with approximately 9.44% ownership.

  • BlackRock Inc.: Holds about 7.2% of Honeywell's shares.

  • State Street Corporation: Owns roughly 4.8% of the company.

  • Wellington Management Group LLP: Maintains a stake of approximately 2.7%.

  • Geode Capital Management LLC: Holds about 2.2% of Honeywell's shares.

These institutional investors play a significant role in Honeywell's ownership structure, especially as the company explores strategic alternatives to enhance shareholder value.

It's noteworthy that Vanguard Group Inc. and BlackRock Inc. are prominent institutional investors across all three companies, reflecting their broad investment strategies in leading technology and industrial firms.

Please note that ownership percentages are approximate and based on the latest available data as of December 2024. Institutional holdings are subject to change due to ongoing trading activities and portfolio adjustments.

Conclusion

These three companies are leading the charge in advancing logical qubit technology, each with unique strengths and approaches:

  • Google Quantum AI is setting performance benchmarks with its cutting-edge quantum chips.

  • IBM focuses on scalability and enterprise-grade quantum systems.

  • Quantinuum leverages the advantages of trapped-ion technology for stable and high-fidelity qubits.

Investors can directly invest in Alphabet or IBM through public markets, while exposure to Quantinuum is currently limited to indirect methods via Honeywell or potential private equity opportunities.

Related Articles:

IBM is becoming a powerhouse of Quantum Ai Technology!



Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Zapata Ai was a company, founded by Harvard Alum, building Quantum Ai technology solutions for enterprises!

 

Zapata Ai

Zapata AI, also known as Zapata Computing, was founded by a group of quantum computing experts and academics from Harvard University. 

Zapata Ai has told investors for some time now that, it specializes in developing quantum algorithms and software platforms (Quantum Ai), such as Orquestra, designed to solve complex computational problems across various industries.

In addition to aerospace companies and U.S. government agencies

Zapata Computing said it has attracted interest from a diverse range of industries, from Government and Aerospace companies.

"BOMBSHELL" NEWS:

Editors Note: We (and all investors) just got slammed by the board at Zapata!

  1. Oct 12 - Zapata dropped a bombshell on investors!

  2. Zapatas board approved the termination of all employees, save for a few who will conduct the winding down operations. The company said its financial obligations are more than the fair market value of its assets.

    Further, the company said it didn't expect to initiate bankruptcy proceedings or seek stockholder approval for the cessation of operation.

  3. It also said that shareholders will not participate in any of it's assets (Read technology/patents)

  4. This is a blindside attack on shareholders who were led to believe the company was beginning to thrive on the back of recent deals with Government agencies and Mag Aerospace!

  5. No doubt there will be some sort of legal action!