"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label UK. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UK. Show all posts

Thursday, July 3, 2025

Kraken Robotics in a great position to help supply NATO navies with their sub sea technology - July Update!

 


Did Desjardin just Release the Kraken? - Kraken Robotics Investment and Business Report (June 2025)

Kraken Robotics’ recent momentum as a growing business and investment opportunity, now including these strategic dimensions:


๐Ÿ’ฐ 1. C$100 Million Bought-Deal Financing

  • What’s new: Kraken announced a bought‑deal public offering in June 2025—raising roughly C$100 million with a 15% over-allotment.

  • Why it’s positive:

    • Bolsters liquidity, enabling aggressive expansions or debt reduction.

    • Supports continued investment in acquisitions and manufacturing scale-up.


๐Ÿงช 2. Acquisition of 3D at Depth (Closed April 2025)


๐Ÿญ 3. Nova Scotia Subsea Battery Facility

  • What happened: Plans for a high-energy SeaPower™ battery plant in Halifax slated for late 2025 krakenrobotics.com+2krakenrobotics.com+2krakenrobotics.com+2.

  • Why it matters:

    • Strategic location: Halifax—Canada East Coast Navy HQ and major NATO port—offers logistical and defense synergies.

    • Defense reach: Perfect staging for contracts, including those with NATO navies. Infrastructure and proven naval partnerships are already in place.


๐Ÿ“ˆ 4. Robust Q1 2025 Results & Backlog

  • What happened: Q1 revenue was C$16.1 M with 62.7% gross margin, C$58 M in cash (up sharply YOY), and C$94.6 M in working capital.

  • Why it’s positive:

    • Confirms improved profitability, operational efficiency, and a strong cushion for growth.


๐Ÿงญ 5. Growing Bookings & Service Expansion

  • What happened: Since Q4 2024, Kraken received ~$45 M in subsea battery orders and ~$3 M in sonar bookings.


  • Why it matters:

    • Reflects sustained demand in defense and offshore energy sectors.

    • Validates product-market fit across diverse offerings.


๐ŸŽฏ 6. Defense & NATO Engagement

  • What happened: Ongoing contracts include $50 M+ for Royal Canadian Navy mine hunting systems in Halifax and past contracts with NATO navies (Australia and UK).


  • Why it’s important:

    • Halifax facility aligns geographically with Kraken’s East Coast naval customers.

    • Strengthens NATO interoperability and trust amid global naval tensions.


✅ 7. Comprehensive Subsea Ecosystem & Diversification

  • What’s evolving: Kraken now offers sonar (KATFISH™), LiDAR (SeaVision + 3D at Depth), subsea batteries (SeaPower™), and RaaS.


  • Pipeline inspection through Kraken Seapower
  • Why it’s smart:

    • Reduced reliance on a single revenue stream.

    • Offers integrated solutions for underwater defense and infrastructure clients.


๐Ÿ“Š Summary Table

StrengthDetails
Financial PowerC$100M financing + C$58M cash = strong investment capability
North American ReachU.S. operations via 3D at Depth + Halifax manufacturing
Defense EcosystemHalifax ties to RCN and NATO; major contracts secured
Tech PortfolioIntegrated sensors + power + service delivery
Proven DemandOrder backlog and major contracts affirm market traction

๐ŸŽฏ Why This Update Matters for Investors

  • Global Expansion: A U.S. footprint hedges geopolitical trade risks, unlocking access to American contracts.

  • Strategic NATO Positioning: Halifax location and facility align with allied naval operations, reinforcing defense supply chain credentials.

  • Integrated Tech Stance: Offers deep-tech defense clients everything from data to power, buoyed by recurring service demand.

  • Financial Firepower: Strong capital reserves enable execution of strategy without dilution or debt stress.


In combining financial strength, geographic diversification (Canada + U.S.), purpose-built naval infrastructure, and a full-stack subsea solution, Kraken Robotics has elevated its status to more than a sensor company—it’s now a strategically aligned defense-tech enabler with actual commercial momentum. These developments make it a more compelling long-term investment.

Here’s a deeper look into Kraken Robotics (PNG/KRKNF) covering contract timelines, valuation considerations, and the competitive landscape:


๐Ÿ“… Contract Timelines & Execution

  • Royal Canadian Navy Remote Mine hunting & Disposal System (RMDS)

    • Awarded: December 2022, with formal kickoff in January 2023.

    • Acquisition phase: 24 months, through end-2024, followed by a 5‑year integrated logistics support (ILS) program ($40 M acquisition + $10 M ILS) .

    • Operational readiness: RMDS installations expected fully operational in 2025 .

  • KATFISH Sonar System for Royal Danish Navy

    • Integration began in 2023, achieving full operational capability in early 2024.

    • Sustenance contract spans 7 years with potential extensions up to 21 years .

  • NATO Vessels Upgrade Contract

    • Roughly US $9 M follow-on deal secured in late 2022 for additional KATFISH units, tentacle winches, and autonomous launch-recovery systems (ALARS) .



๐Ÿ“ˆ Valuation Snapshot & Market Outlook

  • Analyst price targets: Average 12% upside to CA $3.40 (range CA $3.28–$3.68) over the next 12 months .

  • Intrinsic value vs market price:

    • Simply Wall St: Fair value ~CA $3.28, placing current price ~7% below fair value .

  • Key metrics:

    • Trailing P/E around 38× (Yahoo Finance), forward P/E not yet meaningful .

    • P/E ~42× vs industry avg. ~31× (Simply Wall St) .

    • EV/EBITDA ~28× vs sector avg. ~18× .

  • Growth: Earnings projected ~8% annually; last year saw ~136% growth .


๐Ÿ† Competitive Positioning

Strengths:

  • Integrated solution platform: Combines advanced sonar (KATFISH™, AquaPix™), subsea LiDAR (SeaVision + 3D at Depth), batteries (SeaPower™), AUVs, and RaaS—enhancing defensibility.

  • Long-term contracts:

    • Danish results show FOC achieved and a multi-year sustainment contract .

    • Canadian RMDS creates 7+ years of recurring revenue .

  • Global adoption: 

  • Deployed across the U.S., U.K., Australia, Denmark, Poland—plus mounting interest from NATO .

Risks:

  • High valuation relative to peers: Premium multiples imply investor expectations for continued growth.

  • Execution risk: Meeting ambitious contract delivery timelines across multiple large-scale programs.

  • Geopolitical dependency: Much revenue tied to defense budgets, which can be cyclical.


๐Ÿงญ Investment Implications

MetricInsight
Cash flow & marginsLarge multi-year contracts with sustainment provide stable, predictable revenue.
Geographic diversificationU.S. and NATO footprint hedges trade/tension risks; Halifax location aligns with naval operations.
Valuation debateDisagreement between growth-based models (Simply Wall St) and DCF-based (Alpha Spread); current price sits between fair-value estimates.
Catalysts
  • RMDS ramp in 2025

  • Further U.S./EU contracts via 3D at Depth presence

  • Continued deployment of KATFISH on NATO-MCM vessels |

Conclusion: Kraken’s strategic positioning, recurring revenue pipelines, and expanding global engagement present a compelling growth narrative. However, execution reliability and valuation premiums warrant careful monitoring—especially given its ~40× P/E.


Here’s a refined look at how NATO’s new 5% GDP defense‑spending pledge bolsters Kraken Robotics’ strategic positioning—and why it matters:


๐ŸŒ NATO’s 5% Defense Commitment


๐Ÿ“ฃ What This Means for Kraken Robotics

  1. Boost in Core Defence Procurement

    • With NATO countries winding up core defense budgets, there's greater emphasis and funding available for equipment like sonar systems (e.g. KATFISH™), underwater LiDAR, power systems, and autonomous platforms—all in Kraken’s portfolio.

  2. Infrastructure Spending Tailwinds

    • The additional 1.5% of GDP aimed at dual-use infrastructure—ports, bridges, cyber, and shipyards—aligns perfectly with Kraken’s Halifax battery plant and its sensor systems used for marine infrastructure monitoring and readiness.

  3. Special Defense Focus on Canada & Allies

    • Canada (currently ~1.3% GDP on defense) is expected to scale up significantly. Kraken’s Halifax facility—on the East Coast naval hub at a major NATO port—is primed to capture more contracts as defense budgets grow.

  4. Leverage European/NATO Industrial Expansion

    • As NATO boosts its defense-industrial base under this plan, Kraken stands to benefit from increased R&D and procurement contracts across the alliance, particularly in the U.S., Canada, and Europe.


๐Ÿ“ˆ Strategic & Investment Implications for Kraken

AxisPositive Impact
Revenue GrowthLarger NATO defense budgets widen pipeline opportunities for sonar, LiDAR, batteries, AUV deployments, and sustainment contracts.
Geographic & Industrial PushKraken's U.S. and Canadian build-out is well‑aligned with NATO’s spending surge, increasing its positioning as a key supplier.
Valuation UpsideGiven Kraken’s high multiples (P/E ~40×), securing new, credible NATO contracts supports earnings growth and validates premium valuation.
Execution RiskWhile budget increases help, Kraken must still deliver projects on-time and scale its capabilities to meet heightened demand.

๐Ÿงญ Bottom Line

NATO’s 5% GDP commitment is a paradigm shift in defense spending—a ramp-up that directly plays to Kraken Robotics’ strengths:

  • Its full-stack subsea offerings — sonar, LiDAR, batteries, AUV deployment — become increasingly relevant.

  • Its Halifax and U.S. footprint aligns with infrastructure investments and defense-alliances.

  • With large-scale defense budgets unlocking in the coming decade, Kraken is uniquely positioned to capitalize.


Related NATO defense‑spending news

Thursday, December 12, 2024

The worldwide reach of CSIQ, and it's subsidiaries, global leaders in renewable energy solutions!

 


Business and Investment Report: Canadian Solar Inc.

Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ) is a global leader in renewable energy solutions headquartered in Guelph, Ontario, Canada. Since its founding in 2001, the company has expanded its operations across multiple regions, establishing subsidiaries and forming key partnerships to strengthen its position in the solar and renewable energy markets.


Key Subsidiaries and Their Contributions to Technology

  1. Recurrent Energy


    • Focus: Development, ownership, and operation of utility-scale solar and energy storage projects.

    • Technology Contribution: Recurrent Energy brings robust expertise in project development, advanced solar power plant construction, and energy storage capabilities, primarily focusing on North American markets.

  2. CSI Solar Co., Ltd.


    • Focus: Manufacturing of solar photovoltaic modules and energy storage solutions.

    • Technology Contribution: CSI Solar is central to Canadian Solar’s integrated operations, providing cutting-edge solar panels and lithium-ion battery storage systems.

  3. e-STORAGE                                    E-Storage Arizona


    • Focus: Utility-scale battery energy storage solutions.

    • Technology Contribution: The subsidiary’s planned 3-GWh manufacturing plant in Shelbyville, Kentucky, will produce lithium-iron phosphate batteries, enhancing the company’s battery storage offerings for non-residential and grid-scale applications.

  4. SolBank (Chinese Subsidiary)


    • Focus: Production and distribution of battery storage systems.

    • Operations: SolBank’s technology focuses on grid-scale energy storage solutions, critical for renewable energy integration.

    • Recent Contract: SolBank recently secured a contract with the Province of Nova Scotia to supply large-scale batteries for grid stabilization, a significant step in Canadian Solar’s efforts to expand its presence in the energy storage market.


Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) and its subsidiaries have secured several significant contracts across various regions, underscoring their global presence in the renewable energy sector.

1. United Kingdom

  • Coalburn 1 Project: In December 2023, e-STORAGE, a division of CSI Solar Co., Ltd., was awarded a contract by Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners Flagship Funds to supply and integrate 500 MW / 1,170 MWh DC of energy storage solutions for the Coalburn 1 Project in Scotland. This project is set to become the largest battery storage facility in the UK, with installation scheduled for the first quarter of 2025.

2. United States

  • EDF Renewables North America: In August 2023, Canadian Solar signed a multi-year module supply agreement to deliver up to 7 GW of high-efficiency N-type TOPCon solar modules to EDF Renewables' U.S. project pipeline between 2024 and 2030. These modules will be produced at    Canadian Solar's new factory in Mesquite Texas


  • RE+ Trade Show Contracts: During the 2023 RE+ show in Las Vegas, Canadian Solar finalized approximately 4 GWp of solar module contracts. These orders are expected to be fulfilled by the upcoming Texas factory and the expanded Thailand module factory.

3. Chile

  • BESS Project: In October 2024, CSI Solar Co., Ltd., through its e-STORAGE division, secured a turnkey Engineering, Procurement, and Construction contract to supply a 98 MW / 312 MWh DC Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) in Chile. This project marks Canadian Solar's first BESS contract in the country.

4. South Africa

  • SOLA Group Partnership: In December 2022, CSI Solar signed a 256 MW solar module contract with SOLA Group to supply the first two largest utility-scale solar power projects in South Africa based on private power purchase agreements. The projects, located in the North West Province, are expected to generate approximately 580 GWh of clean energy annually.

These contracts highlight Canadian Solar's strategic expansion and its commitment to delivering renewable energy solutions worldwide.

Recent Announcements and Contracts

  • Texas Contracts:

    • On December 12, 2024, Canadian Solar announced new agreements to supply its advanced solar technology and energy storage solutions in Texas. These contracts reinforce the company’s commitment to supporting renewable energy adoption in one of the United States' most dynamic energy markets. 

    • It has executed three significant agreements with Sunraycer Renewables LLC ("Sunraycer"), an Annapolis, Maryland-based renewable energy platform. 

    • These include battery energy storage supply and commissioning agreements for two projects in Texas, as well as the purchase of up to 2 GWp of high-efficiency solar modules for various Sunraycer projects.

Financial Overview

  • Stock Price: As of December 12, 2024, Canadian Solar’s stock price is $12.38 USD.

  • Q3 2024 Performance:

    • Revenue: $1.5 billion (8% decrease quarter-over-quarter; 18% decline year-over-year).

    • Gross Margin: 16.4%.

    • Net Loss: $14 million, or $0.31 per diluted share.


Growth Prospects and Technological Investments

  • Canadian Solar boasts a 26 GWp solar project development pipeline and a 66 GWh energy storage pipeline, signaling significant growth potential.

  • The company’s focus on research and development ensures it remains at the forefront of solar and battery technologies.

  • Its integrated operations, spanning manufacturing to large-scale project deployment, position Canadian Solar as a vital player in the global energy transition.


Conclusion

Canadian Solar Inc. continues to strengthen its market position through strategic subsidiaries, innovative technologies, and impactful contracts. With recent agreements, contracts and projects in Chile, Thailand, Maryland, Nova Scotia and Texas, the company’s ability to deliver tailored renewable energy solutions is evident. 

As demand for clean energy grows, CSIQ is well-positioned to capitalize on global opportunities

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