"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label central banks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label central banks. Show all posts

Saturday, June 20, 2026

Are you considering precious metals for your TFSA or retirement portfolio?

 

The Precious Metals Reset

Why the Pullback in Silver, Gold and Mining Stocks May Be Creating One of the Best Buying Opportunities of 2026

Executive Summary

Since the early-May highs, both precious metals and mining equities have experienced a significant correction.

Silver has retreated sharply from its peak.

Gold has pulled back from record levels.

Silver miners and gold miners have fallen even more than the underlying metals.

To many investors, this appears bearish.

For long-term investors, (including us) it represents:

A rare opportunity to accumulate strategic assets while the long-term thesis remains intact.

The critical observation is this:

The prices have corrected. The fundamentals largely have not.

In fact, many of the drivers supporting both gold and silver today appear stronger than they were a year ago:

  • Persistent silver supply deficits
  • AI and electrification demand growth
  • Continued central-bank gold buying
  • Geopolitical uncertainty
  • Sovereign debt concerns
  • Currency diversification away from the U.S. dollar
  • Physical metal accumulation by investors and institutions

The result is a compelling setup for investors willing to look beyond the next quarter.


Why Precious Metals Matter More Than Ever

Historically investors separated precious metals into two camps:

Gold = Monetary Metal

Silver = Industrial Metal

Today that distinction is increasingly blurred.

Both metals are becoming strategic assets.

Gold is regaining importance as:

  • a reserve asset
  • a geopolitical hedge
  • a currency diversification tool
  • an inflation hedge

Silver is becoming increasingly critical to:

  • AI infrastructure
  • robotics
  • semiconductors
  • electrical grids
  • EVs
  • aerospace
  • defense technologies

Together, gold and silver now form what may be the world's most important 

hard-asset combination.


Gold: The World's Ultimate Reserve Asset

Gold's investment case has strengthened significantly over the last several years.

Central banks continue to accumulate gold despite record prices.

The World Gold Council reported estimated central-bank purchases of 244 tonnes during Q1 2026, exceeding both the previous quarter and the five-year average.

A recent survey found that a record 45% of central banks expect to increase their gold holdings over the next year.

This matters because central banks represent:

The smartest long-term buyers in the world.

They are not trading.

They are allocating reserves.

Their continued purchases suggest that gold's strategic importance is increasing rather than declining.


Silver: The Technology Metal

Silver may be even more interesting.

Unlike gold, silver has two major demand drivers.

Monetary Demand

  • Wealth preservation
  • Inflation protection
  • Safe-haven buying

Industrial Demand

  • AI infrastructure
  • Robotics
  • Solar energy
  • Electric vehicles
  • Advanced electronics
  • Defense systems

Silver possesses the highest electrical conductivity of any metal.

As AI and electrification expand globally, silver demand continues to benefit from secular growth trends.


The Silver Supply Crisis Remains

This is arguably the strongest part of the silver thesis.

According to the Silver Institute and World Silver Survey 2026, the market is expected to record its sixth consecutive annual deficit

Above-ground inventories continue to be drawn down to satisfy demand.

This is important because:

Most silver is not mined for silver.

It is produced as a by-product of:

  • copper mines
  • zinc mines
  • lead mines
  • gold mines

Therefore:

Higher silver prices do not automatically solve the shortage.

This structural issue remains one of the strongest long-term bullish arguments for silver.


Why the Pullback May Be a Gift

The correction since May appears driven largely by:

  • higher bond yields
  • delayed rate-cut expectations
  • stronger U.S. dollar
  • profit taking
  • reduced geopolitical fear

These are cyclical factors.

The long-term drivers are structural.

Historically, some of the best precious-metals investments have been made when:

Prices fall

while

Fundamentals remain strong

That may be the situation today.


Here are Four silver plays we either own or have placed on our watch list!

Sprott Physical Silver Trust

The Silver Foundation

PSLV represents direct ownership of physical silver.

No mining risk.

No cost overruns.

No political issues.

Simply exposure to a strategic metal experiencing persistent deficits.

Why It Matters

If silver ultimately benefits from:

  • AI infrastructure
  • electrification
  • robotics
  • supply shortages

PSLV may become the purest way to participate.


First Majestic Silver Corp.

The High-Torque Silver Vehicle

AG is one of the most recognized silver miners globally.

When silver prices rise, profitability can expand dramatically.

This operational leverage often causes silver miners to outperform the metal itself during bull markets.

Why It Matters

If silver enters a true scarcity-driven bull market:

AG may become one of the largest beneficiaries.


Endeavour Silver Corp.

Growth Plus Silver Leverage

EDR adds something AG does not:

Production growth.

Its Terronera project provides company-specific growth potential in addition to silver exposure.

This creates two possible drivers:

  • higher silver prices
  • increased production

Why It Matters

Few silver miners offer both growth and leverage simultaneously.


XGD

The Gold Allocation

This is where gold enters the story.

XGD owns many of the world's major gold producers.

These companies benefit from:

  • higher gold prices
  • strong margins
  • central-bank demand
  • global reserve diversification

Unlike silver miners, gold producers generally provide:

  • greater stability
  • lower volatility
  • stronger institutional ownership

Why It Matters

Gold remains the world's preferred hard-money asset.

The current correction may be providing investors an opportunity to buy world-class gold producers at more attractive valuations than were available earlier in the year.


Why Gold and Silver Belong Together

Many investors choose one or the other.

Historically, the strongest precious-metals portfolios often own both.

Gold and silver provide different exposures:

AssetPrimary Driver
GoldMonetary demand
SilverIndustrial + monetary demand
Gold MinersGold price leverage
Silver MinersSilver price leverage

Together they create diversification within the precious-metals sector itself.


My Preferred TFSA Allocation Today

For an investor focused on:

  • AI infrastructure
  • silver shortages
  • hard assets
  • tax-free compounding
  • controlled volatility

I would currently favor:

HoldingWeight
PSLV25%
AG25%
EDR20%
XGD30%

Why I Increased XGD

In the earlier report, the emphasis was heavily silver-focused.

Today I believe gold deserves a larger allocation because:

Gold is being accumulated by central banks.

Gold demand remains historically strong.

Gold miners have corrected alongside silver miners.

Gold provides downside protection if economic growth slows.

Meanwhile silver retains its higher upside potential.

This creates a more balanced precious-metals strategy.


The Bull Case Through 2030

If the following continue:

AI Buildout

Robotics Expansion

Grid Electrification

Defense Spending Growth

Central-Bank Gold Accumulation

Ongoing Silver Deficits

Then both gold and silver may remain in secular bull markets.

Several major institutions continue to forecast substantially higher gold prices over the next several years, supported by central-bank buying and reserve diversification.

Meanwhile the silver market continues to face structural shortages and inventory drawdowns.


Bottom Line

The correction since May has likely scared out short-term traders.

But for long-term investors, it may have created something more valuable:

A chance to accumulate both monetary metals and strategic technology metals at lower prices.

Gold is increasingly becoming the world's preferred reserve asset.

Silver is increasingly becoming the world's preferred electrification asset.

And the combination of:

  • PSLV (physical silver)
  • AG (silver torque)
  • EDR (silver growth)
  • XGD (gold stability)

creates a portfolio that is positioned to benefit from both of the defining themes of the next decade:

Hard-money demand

and

Technology-driven resource scarcity.

That is a combination few sectors can currently offer.

Ed Note:  XGD provides a good place to begin our entry point this week


The case for owning silver stocks/ETFs at a time of severe shortages in this precious/technology metal