"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label infrastructure. Show all posts
Showing posts with label infrastructure. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 3, 2025

The Trump Administration has recently invested in both MP Materials and Intel! Question: who might be next, and why!

 


These critical U.S. companies were named in the CHIPS Act and have received preliminary agreements (Preliminary Memoranda of Terms, or PMTs)—but for which funding has not yet been fully disbursed (i.e., not finalized yet):

Ed Note:
It appears the Trump administration is turning giveaways from the chips act, into "investments" in those companies targeted. This report speculates on which companies might be next, after investments have been made in Intel and MP Materials.



1. Microchip Technology (NASDAQ: MCHP)

  • The U.S. Department of Commerce signed a non-binding Preliminary Memorandum of Terms (PMT) to provide approximately $162 million under the CHIPS and Science Act, aimed at bolstering domestic semiconductor supply for automotive, defense, and aerospace industries. That funding has not yet been finalized.
    Z2Data+10NIST+10TSMC+10

  • In a twist, Microchip later backed off pursuing the grant for expansion of its Gresham, Oregon facility. That further suggests no disbursement has occurred yet.
    KGW+1


2. Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU)

  • Micron has a preliminary agreement for a $6.1 billion CHIPS Act grant to build a chip fabrication campus in Clay, New York ("megafab") and boost capacity in Boise, Idaho.
    Chuck Schumer's Senate Website+15Wikipedia+15

  • As of now, this remains preliminary, which implies that funding has not been fully disbursed.
    Barron'sThe Verge


3. GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ: GFS)

  • In February 2024, GlobalFoundries signed a preliminary agreement for over $1.5 billion in CHIPS funding to strengthen domestic legacy chip supply.
    New York Post+1

  • The award was later finalized in November 2024—meaning the preliminary stage was completed and funding is now moving forward.
    Wikipedia


4. Intel (NASDAQ: INTC)


Summary Table

CompanyPreliminary Agreement?Finalized?Status
MicrochipYes, ~$162 M PMTNo, not finalizedFunding has not been disbursed
MicronYes, ~$6.1 B PMTNo, not finalizedStill in preliminary stage
GlobalFoundriesYes, ~$1.5 B PMTYes, finalizedFunding now moving forward
IntelYes, ~$8.5 B PMTYes, finalizedFunds now to be disbursed

Companies still in preliminary-only stage (no final disbursement yet):

  • Microchip Technology (MCHP) – ~$162 M PMT, not finalized.

  • Micron Technology (MU) – ~$6.1 B PMT, not finalized.


    Ed Note:  

  • Listen to any hints of more investments coming from Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik in late September or before!

narrowing to AI tech & infrastructure and focusing on U.S.-domiciled names, here’s a balanced list of 10 companies that (a) are strategically important for American tech leadership, and (b) could see outsized upside if the U.S. government explicitly takes a position or expands incentives.


Core chip manufacturing (the foundation)

1) Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) — Leading-edge and advanced packaging fabs across AZ/OH/OR/NM; already the single biggest CHIPS Act beneficiary (grants + loans). A direct stake would further de-risk multi-node U.S. capacity and supply chain resilience. ReutersU.S. Department of Commerce

2) Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) — U.S. leader in DRAM/HBM and NAND; memory is the oxygen of AI clusters. The White House already announced a preliminary CHIPS package up to ~$6.1B for new U.S. fabs—government equity/co-investment would accelerate HBM ramp critical to training/inference. The White HouseThe Verge

3) GlobalFoundries (NASDAQ: GFS) — Only U.S. pure-play foundry at scale, trusted for DoD needs; finalized up to $1.5B CHIPS award to expand New York and modernize Vermont (incl. GaN). A government position would fortify secure domestic supply for auto/defense/edge-AI. NISTGlobalFoundries

4) Microchip Technology (NASDAQ: MCHP) — Mature-node MCUs/analog that go into everything from defense systems to data-center controls; ~$162M preliminary CHIPS support to expand U.S. fabs. Additional public backing would harden this critical “everywhere silicon” tier. NIST


AI compute & systems (where the work gets done)

5) Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) — Designs/racks full AI systems (GB200/NVL72, HGX B200) and leads on liquid-cooling at rack scale; a federal position signals confidence in domestic AI-server capacity and speeds deployments for gov/defense workloads. SupermicroSupermicro

6) Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET) — The Ethernet backbone for AI clusters (400/800G today, 1.6T on deck). Government support would catalyze U.S.-based networking scale-out across federal/HPC sites. Arista Networks

7) Lattice Semiconductor (NASDAQ: LSCC) — Ultra-low-power FPGAs for edge-AI, control, and security—ideal for ruggedized, power-constrained defense/industrial endpoints. A stake would expand “AI at the edge” capacity domestically. latticesemi.com+1


AI data-center infrastructure (power, cooling, reliability)

8) Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) — Power distribution & advanced liquid-cooling that make giga-scale AI sites possible; expanding NA solutions specifically to ease AI deployments. Federal backing would accelerate retrofits/new builds across critical facilities. Vertiv InvestorsVertiv


Materials & devices that unlock performance

9) Wolfspeed (NYSE: WOLF) — Silicon-carbide (SiC) devices and materials for efficient power (AI data centers, high-power PSUs, EV charging). Proposed $750M CHIPS support + large private capital—public co-investment would speed U.S. SiC capacity vital to AI power chains. WolfspeedSEC

10) MP Materials (NYSE: MP) — U.S. rare-earths mining/separation; DoD has already funded HREE separation at Mountain Pass. A deeper stake would cement a domestic magnet/REE supply for defense, motors, and data-center equipment.

(Recently turned into an investment in the company by the administration)  

U.S. Department of Defense


Why these 10?

  • National-security leverage: Together they span logic, memory, foundry, servers, networking, power/cooling, edge FPGAs, SiC power, and REE supply—i.e., every chokepoint between sand and AI output.

  • Policy momentum: CHIPS/DPA precedents exist (Intel, Micron, GlobalFoundries, Microchip; DoD for MP). Additional capital or a formal government position would reduce financing risk and accelerate

Monday, July 1, 2024

Fluence Energy has established itself as a leader in energy storage through several strategic advantages and significant achievements in scale!

 


 Here are the key factors contributing to the leadership position of $FLNC:

  1. Scale and Reach: Fluence has deployed and contracted over 20 GWh of battery-based energy storage systems globally, operating in 47 markets. This extensive presence and experience enable Fluence to leverage global best practices and economies of scale, making it a formidable player in the energy storage industry.

  2. Technological Innovation: The company continuously develops advanced energy storage products, such as the Gridstack Pro and Ultrastack, tailored for utility-scale projects and grid applications. These innovations are designed to meet the increasing demands of modern power grids, particularly in managing renewable energy integration and grid stability.

  3. Strategic Partnerships: Fluence has forged strong partnerships with key industry players. For instance, their collaboration with TransnetBW in Germany on the 250 MW Grid Booster project showcases their ability to deliver large-scale, innovative solutions that enhance grid efficiency and support renewable energy integration.

  4. Comprehensive Service Offerings: Fluence provides an ecosystem of solutions, including modular and scalable energy storage products, comprehensive service offerings, and AI-enabled software for managing and optimizing renewable energy and storage. This holistic approach ensures customers can rely on Fluence for end-to-end energy storage solutions.

  5. Safety and Reliability: Fluence emphasizes safety and reliability, which are critical for gaining and maintaining customer trust. Their systems have accumulated nearly 3 million operating hours, underscoring their durability and performance.

Looking forward, Fluence plans to maintain its leadership by continuing to innovate, expanding its market reach, and enhancing its technological capabilities. The company is also focused on addressing emerging challenges such as grid congestion and renewable energy integration by deploying sophisticated energy storage solutions that provide flexibility and resilience to power networks.

By leveraging these strengths and maintaining its commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Fluence is well-positioned to sustain its leadership in the rapidly evolving energy storage market.



Over the past three years, Fluence Energy has demonstrated substantial growth, solidifying its position as a leader in the energy storage sector. Here are some key highlights of their growth trajectory:

  1. Revenue Growth: Fluence has experienced significant increases in revenue. For instance, in fiscal year 2023, the company reported record quarterly order intakes, which resulted in the highest-ever backlog and led to an increase in their revenue guidance for the year​ (Simply Wall St)​​ (Stock Analysis)​.

  2. Global Expansion: Fluence has expanded its market presence to 47 countries, deploying and contracting over 20 GWh of battery-based energy storage systems globally. This expansion includes major projects in Germany, Finland, and Australia, showcasing their capability to handle large-scale and complex energy storage systems​ (Fluence)​​ (Stock Analysis)​.

  3. Technological and Product Innovation: The company has continuously introduced advanced energy storage products, such as the Gridstack Pro and Ultrastack, which cater to utility-scale projects and address the growing needs for grid stability and renewable energy integration. These innovations help Fluence stay ahead in a competitive market by offering cutting-edge solutions​ (Fluence)​​ (Simply Wall St)​.

  4. Strategic Partnerships and Projects: Fluence has partnered with leading energy companies worldwide to deliver significant projects. Notable examples include the 500 MW/1000 MWh energy storage system for AGL Energy in Australia and the Grid Booster project in Germany, which are among the largest and most complex energy storage systems globally​ (Fluence)​​ (Simply Wall St)​.

  5. Industry Recognition: In 2024, Fluence was named one of Forbes' Most Successful Mid-Cap Companies, reflecting its robust performance and market leadership. This recognition is based on positive sales growth, financial health, and strategic market positioning​ (Fluence)​.

Overall, Fluence Energy's growth over the past three years has been marked by increased revenue, global market expansion, technological innovation, strategic partnerships, and industry recognition. These factors collectively contribute to its leading position in the energy storage market and set a strong foundation for continued growth in the future.

Discl: We own shares in $FLNC


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