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Showing posts with label SEC s-4. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SEC s-4. Show all posts

Saturday, September 20, 2025

"Infleqtion Quantum" The SPAC is back, and, I believe this one could be quite lucrative as this pioneer of Quantum Sensing Technology goes public!!

 


Here’s a retail-friendly investment/business snapshot of Infleqtion 

(going public via Churchill Capital Corp X – “CCCX”)

plus a quick peer check vs IONQ, D-Wave (QBTS), and Rigetti (RGTI).

Churchill Capital Corp X (CCCX)
$12.17
+$0.82(+7.29%)September 19

Infleqtion (ticker to be: INFQ after merger) — Retail Cheat Sheet

What Infleqtion is

Neutral-atom “full-stack” quantum company that sells precision sensors (clocks, RF, inertial/GPS-denied nav) and quantum computing systems, with software to tie it together. The SPAC deal values Infleqtion at ~$1.8B pre-money and aims to list as INFQ after closing. Reuters+1

Why now (deal basics & cash)

  • Transaction: Infleqtion to merge with CCCX; post-close ticker expected: INFQ (Nasdaq). Shareholder vote + SEC clearance required. SEC

  • Proceeds: “> $540M expected gross proceeds” (includes ~$416M trust, >$125M PIPE). Actual cash depends on redemptions. PIPE backers cited include Maverick Capital and Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global (plus others). Yahoo Finance+2The Quantum Insider+2

  • Use of funds: accelerate product roadmap, manufacturing scale-up, and go-to-market. The Quantum Insider

Commercial traction (what’s real today)

  • Revenue (TTM to Jun 30, 2025): ~$29M; 2025E booked & awarded business ~ $50M; identified pipeline > $300M (company figures; prelim/unaudited). Quantum Computing Report+1

  • Customers/partners called out: NASA, U.S. DoD, U.K. government, and NVIDIA among others. Nasdaq+1

  • Tech milestones (company-stated): neutral-atom platform with record qubit arrays, high two-qubit fidelities, early logical-qubit demos; sensors already shipped in volume (hundreds). The Quantum Insider

Institutional & transaction parties (high level)

  • PIPE investors (named in press/PR): Maverick Capital, Counterpoint Global (Morgan Stanley), plus Glynn Capital, BOKA Capital, LCP Quantum (per deal comms). The Quantum Insider

  • Advisors: Citi (capital markets advisor/PIPE placement), J.P. Morgan (advisor/PIPE), BTIG; multiple law firms. The Quantum Insider


How Infleqtion stacks up vs public quantum peers

CompanyCore tech & focusWhere $ comes from nowRecent scale markers
Infleqtion (INFQ, post-deal)Neutral atoms; sensing (clocks/RF/inertial) + computingGovernment/defense + enterprise; sells hardware & systems; softwareTTM rev ~$29M; booked/awarded ~$50M 2025E (company est.) Quantum Computing Report+1
IonQ (IONQ)Trapped-ion quantum computingCloud QPU access, services, systemsLarger public market cap today; raised significant capital; pure computing focus. (See investor deck comps.) Churchill Capital X Corp
D-Wave (QBTS)Quantum annealing (optimization), moving toward “advantage2”Cloud/hybrid annealing services; enterprise pilotsSmaller revenue base than Infleqtion per deck comps; meaningful enterprise logos. Churchill Capital X Corp
Rigetti (RGTI)Superconducting gate-modelCloud access, government R&D, systemsSimilar early-stage commercialization; comps show lower LTM revenue. Churchill Capital X Corp

Deck comparison slide shows Infleqtion LTM revenue ~$29M vs IONQ $52M, D-Wave $22M, Rigetti $8M as of 6/30/25 (company/FactSet notes; prelim and subject to change). Churchill Capital X Corp

Live trading context (today): IONQ ~$70, QBTS ~$27, RGTI ~$29, CCCX ~$12 (can be volatile around deal milestones). (Prices from the market feed above.)


Simple thesis (retail version)

Bull case (what could go right):

  • Quantum sensing has nearer-term use (GPS-denied nav, timing, RF) -> revenue earlier than pure computing. Government/defense demand is a strong tailwind. Nasdaq

  • Platform leverage: one neutral-atom “core” to serve both sensing + computing -> diversified revenue and cross-learning. The Quantum Insider

  • Capitalized via SPAC + PIPE to scale production and delivery. Yahoo Finance

Bear case (key risks):

  • De-SPAC risk: redemptions/dilution; post-merger selling pressure common in SPACs. SEC

  • Execution/SWaP-C: shrinking lab systems into rugged, cost-effective field units is hard; procurement cycles can be long. (Industry analyses flag manufacturability & adoption hurdles.) datacenterdynamics.com

  • Competition & valuation volatility across quantum names.


How to invest (plain English)

  1. Before the merger closes: buying CCCX common gives you exposure. If the deal closes and you do not redeem, your CCCX shares become INFQ automatically at closing. There will be a shareholder vote and a redemption window disclosed in the SEC S-4/proxy. SEC

  2. At/after conversion: ticker should switch to INFQ; trading can be volatile in the first weeks. SEC

  3. Position sizing (retail rule-of-thumb): treat as early-stage growth—size modestly (e.g., 0.5–2% of portfolio per name), add on execution catalysts (new contracts/shipments) rather than price spikes.

  4. Catalysts to watch: SEC S-4 effectiveness, shareholder vote, redemption results, first major shipment(s) of sensors/nav systems, new defense/space awards, computing milestones (logical-qubit progress). SEC+1


Bottom line (my take)

If you want nearer-term quantum exposure tilted to sensing + dual-track computing, Infleqtion offers a differentiated approach and real (if early) revenues vs peers. The risk is high (it’s still deep-tech + SPAC dynamics), but the setup is credible: named government customers, growing bookings, and fresh capital. For a diversified retail portfolio, a starter position held through the conversion—with eyes on redemption levels and first post-close execution—makes sense if you accept volatility and a multi-year horizon. Quantum Computing Report+2Yahoo Finance+2



Ed Note: How are we investing in Infleqtion?

We bought shares of CCCX @ $10.70 and plan to hold them through the conversion process.  

If, after conversion, there is a drop in share price of INFQ, we will be adding to our small position.(1.5%)

Sources & references