"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"

Sunday, March 30, 2025

Texas Instruments: An under the radar giant of technology and tech innovation!

  


Latest news: On March 11, 2025Texas Instruments (TI) (Nasdaq: TXN) introduced the world's smallest MCU, expanding its comprehensive Arm(R) Cortex(R) -M0+ MSPM0 MCU portfolio. Measuring only 1.38mm(2) , about the size of a black pepper flake, the wafer chip-scale package (WCSP) for the MSPM0C1104 MCU enables designers to optimize board space in applications such as medical wearables and personal electronics, without compromising performance.

That's a notable development from Texas Instruments (TI)! Here's a quick breakdown of why this matters:

🔍 Key Highlights:

  • Product: MSPM0C1104 MCU

  • Core: Arm® Cortex®-M0+

  • Size: Just 1.38 mm² – roughly the size of a black pepper flake

  • Packaging: Wafer Chip-Scale Package (WCSP)

  • Launch Date: March 11, 2025

🚀 Why It's Significant:

  • Miniaturization Leader: This is the world’s smallest microcontroller (MCU) — ideal for extremely space-constrained applications.

  • Target Markets:

    • Medical Wearables: Think next-gen glucose monitors, biosensors, fitness patches.

    • Personal Electronics: Tiny smart accessories, hearables, etc.

    • Smart Wearables: Clothing, protective gear, cold weather wear etc.

  • Performance Retention: Despite its size, it doesn’t compromise on functionality, thanks to the efficient M0+ core and TI’s optimization.

🧠 Strategic Insight:

This move strengthens TI’s MSPM0 MCU portfolio, which is built for:

  • Low power consumption

  • High integration

  • Cost efficiency

The WCSP format is a clever step forward, especially as competition tightens around wearable and embedded tech.

✅ 1. Reinforces TI's Position in Embedded Systems

TI has long been a major player in the microcontroller and embedded processor market. By introducing the world's smallest MCU, TI:

  • Reaffirms its engineering leadership in ultra-miniaturization.

  • Expands its low-power MCU portfolio, giving it more clout in the fast-growing IoT and wearable sectors.


📈 2. Opens New Market Opportunities

The MSPM0C1104 MCU targets high-growth segments like:

  • Medical wearables (e.g., health patches, portable monitors)

  • Hearables & smart accessories

  • Tiny consumer devices where board space is premium

These sectors are growing rapidly, and TI can now supply critical components that competitors might not yet match in form factor.


🧩 3. Competitive Differentiation

This gives TI a clear competitive edge over rivals like:

  • STMicroelectronics

  • NXP

  • Microchip

These companies also target the Arm Cortex-M0+ segment, but TI is now able to offer something smaller and just as capable — which matters to engineers designing miniaturized devices.


🔋 4. Strengthens Low-Power & Cost-Efficient Strategy

The MSPM0 family is known for being:

  • Low-power

  • Cost-optimized

  • Easy to scale across designs

This new chip fits perfectly into TI’s strategy to offer scalable, efficient MCUs from ultra-small to more capable variants — appealing to startups and big OEMs alike.


💰 5. Potential for Volume Growth & Margin Expansion

  • Ultra-small MCUs may have premium pricing in niche markets like medical wearables.

  • High volume potential if adopted in mass-market wearables or smart sensors.

  • Could help expand margins, especially since TI manufactures many chips internally and benefits from economies of scale.


🧠 Bottom Line:

This launch isn't just about size — it's about signaling innovation, accessing new markets, and reinforcing TI's ecosystem in embedded solutions. TI is showing that it’s not only keeping up with trends like miniaturization and low-power design but also helping shape them.

Onward:

Texas Instruments (TI) continues to assert its leadership in the semiconductor industry through strategic technological advancements, robust financial management, and a clear focus on growth sectors. This report provides a comprehensive analysis of TI's current position and future prospects.​

Technological Innovations and Advances

TI has consistently pushed the boundaries of semiconductor technology:

  • World's Smallest MCUOn March 11, 2025, TI unveiled the MSPM0C1104 microcontroller unit (MCU), measuring just 1.38 mm²—approximately the size of a black pepper flake. This MCU is designed to optimize board space in applications like medical wearables and personal electronics without compromising performance. ​

  • Advancements in Gallium Nitride (GaN) TechnologyTI has made significant strides in GaN technology, adopting 12-inch wafer production. This advancement enhances product performance, process efficiency, and cost-effectiveness, aligning with sustainable manufacturing practices. ​Chargerlab

  • Embedded Processing and ConnectivityAt Embedded World 2024, TI showcased new embedded processing and connectivity products aimed at creating a safer, smarter, and more sustainable future. These advancements cater to applications in robotics, energy transition, and electric vehicles. ​TI

Recent News and Developments

TI has been actively involved in initiatives to bolster its manufacturing capabilities:


  • CHIPS Act FundingIn December 2024, the U.S. Commerce Department finalized up to $6.35 billion in awards for Samsung Electronics and Texas Instruments to boost semiconductor production. TI is set to receive $1.61 billion to support over $18 billion in investments in Texas and Utah, aiming to create 2,000 jobs by 2029. ​Reuters+1The Verge+1

  • Financial OutlookDespite reporting fourth-quarter earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, TI issued mixed guidance for the current quarter. The company reported earnings of $1.30 per share on sales of $4.01 billion, exceeding forecasts. However, it anticipates first-quarter earnings per share between 94 cents and $1.16, below analysts' expectations of $1.17. ​MarketWatch+2Investor's Business Daily+2Investopedia+2

Financial Performance and Growth

TI's financial strategy emphasizes sustainable growth and shareholder value:

  • Free Cash Flow ProjectionsThe company projects free cash flow per share to range between $8 and $12 by 2026, higher than previous estimates. This projection is supported by a flexible capital expenditure plan starting in 2026. ​TI+4Investing.com+4TSI Wealth Network+4

  • Revenue and Earnings TrendsFor the fiscal year 2023, TI reported revenues of $17.52 billion and a net income of $6.51 billion. While these figures represent a decline from the previous year, the company remains focused on long-term growth strategies. ​Wikipedia

Cash Position and Debt Management

TI maintains a strong balance sheet:

  • Debt LevelsAs of December 2024, TI had $13.6 billion in debt, offset by $7.58 billion in cash reserves, resulting in a net debt of approximately $6.02 billion. The company's substantial market capitalization suggests that this level of liabilities is manageable. ​Simply Wall St

Stock Analysis and Future Prospects

Analyst perspectives on TI's stock are mixed:

  • Analyst RatingsAs of March 30, 2025, 48 analysts have given TI a consensus rating of "Buy," with a price target of $155.49. However, the stock's performance has been influenced by recent earnings reports and financial guidance. ​Public

  • Market PerformanceTI's stock experienced a significant rise of 6.18% on November 6, 2024, marking a historic peak during intraday trading. This growth reflects the company's ongoing commitment to innovation in technology and semiconductor solutions. ​AInvest

Conclusion

Texas Instruments continues to demonstrate resilience and innovation in the semiconductor industry. Its strategic investments in technology and manufacturing capacity position the company well for future growth. While recent financial results have presented challenges, TI's strong cash position and commitment to shareholder value suggest a positive long-term outlook. Investors should monitor the company's execution of its growth strategies and its ability to navigate industry cycles.Investor's Business Daily

Ed Note: 
Texas Instruments Faces Mixed Financial Outlook Amidst Strategic Investments, however, having said that, we believe TI is a long term hold!
Discl: Placed on our watch list as we look for a good entry point!

Saturday, March 29, 2025

Mild stagflation or stagflation-lite is not just a possibility—it’s becoming the base case if trade tensions aren’t dialed back.

 


2025 U.S. Economic Outlook: Is Stagflation Taking Hold?

⚠️ Inflation, Slow Growth, Global Trade Friction – A Perfect Storm?

With broad tariffs, rising retaliation, and key supply chains under threat, the U.S. economy is flashing multiple stagflation warning signs.

The latest shock: a 25% tariff on autos and auto parts from Canada, Mexico, and the EU—a move that undermines decades of trade integration, especially the U.S.–Canada Auto Pact and USMCA (NAFTA 2.0).


🔥 TRADE POLICY EXPLOSION – WHO’S BEING HIT?

🌎 Major Tariff Moves (2025)

TargetKey Products TariffedRetaliation or Response
🇨🇳 ChinaEVs, batteries, solar panels, chips, steelTech import restrictions, rare earth quotas
🇪🇺 EUEVs, steel, aircraft parts, wine/luxury goodsCounter-tariffs on U.S. planes, chips, and services
🇲🇽 MexicoElectronics, car parts, agri-productsFormal WTO complaint + tariffs on grains and beef
🇨🇦 CanadaAutos, auto parts (25%), aluminum, lumber, dairyFull retaliation: U.S. food, machinery, and metals hit

🚗 Auto Pact in Crisis

  • The 1965 Auto Pact allowed free movement of vehicles and parts between the U.S. and Canada, underpinning a highly integrated North American supply chain.

  • The new 25% tariff cripples this agreement, and likely violates USMCA terms.

  • U.S. automakers face rising costs, supply shortages, and production delays.

  • Canadian and Mexican retaliation is targeting U.S. agricultural exports, manufacturing equipment, and consumer goods.


📉 MACRO SNAPSHOT – U.S. MARCH 2025

IndicatorCurrent SignalStagflation Risk?
InflationReaccelerating due to tariffs, oil
EmploymentCooling labor market⚠️
GDP GrowthSlowing (consumer + industrial)
Fed PolicyHawkish hold⚠️
Trade DisruptionHistoric—pacts and alliances shaken✅✅✅

🔍 DEEPER MACRO TRENDS

📈 Inflation Pressures

  • CPI rising toward 3.6% YoY due to:

    • Tariffs across multiple sectors

    • Supply chain congestion from EU and North America

    • Higher energy and transport costs

📉 Growth Faltering

  • Q1 GDP revised to ~0.9% annualized

  • Industrial production down

  • Auto sector especially hard-hit

  • Consumer spending under pressure from rising prices

💼 Labor Market Weakening

  • Layoffs in auto manufacturing, retail, and transport

  • Job openings declining

  • Wage growth slowing down in real terms


⚖️ THE FED’S STAGFLATION TRAP

The Fed faces a brutal dilemma:

  • Cut rates: risks fueling inflation further, especially tariff-driven.

  • Hold or hike: may choke fragile growth and deepen layoffs.

Right now, the Fed is choosing a hawkish pause, hoping inflation will ease without tipping the economy into a harder downturn.


🌐 GEOPOLITICAL AND TRADE FALLOUT

🔁 Retaliation by Allies:

  • Canada, EU, and Mexico are coordinating countermeasures.

  • Global trade dynamics reverting to fragmentation.

  • Supply chains are being reshuffled, creating inefficiencies and pricing pressure.

🚧 Risks to U.S. Exports:

  • Key U.S. sectors now under retaliatory pressure:

    • Aerospace

    • Agriculture

    • Machinery & equipment

    • Consumer packaged goods


🧭 Final Call: A Stagflationary Setup Is Forming



While not in full stagflation yet, the U.S. now faces:

  • Supply-side inflation driven by trade wars

  • Slower demand and production growth

  • Labor market stress in core sectors

⚠️ Mild stagflation or stagflation-lite is not just a possibility—it’s becoming the base case if trade tensions aren’t dialed back.

So, What's new at IONQ?


 IonQ, a leading quantum computing company, has recently achieved several significant milestones:arxiv.org+18Wikipedia+18Barron's+18

  • Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: In February 2025, IonQ announced the acquisition of a majority stake in ID Quantique, a Swiss firm specializing in quantum-safe encryption. Concurrently, they entered a strategic partnership with SK Telecom, South Korea's largest wireless telecom operator. These moves aim to bolster IonQ's position in quantum networking and security.Barron's

  • Financial Performance: IonQ reported fourth-quarter 2024 revenue of $11.7 million, contributing to a full-year revenue of $43.1 million—a 95% increase compared to the previous year. Despite this growth, the company recorded a net loss of $220 million for the quarter, with cash reserves decreasing to $363.8 million.IonQ+4Barron's+4Kiplinger.com+4

  • Leadership Changes: Niccolo de Masi was appointed as the new CEO and president, succeeding Peter Chapman, who transitioned to the role of executive chairman. De Masi, a physicist by training, previously led the special purpose acquisition company that facilitated IonQ's public listing in 2021.Barron's+1Wikipedia+1

  • Technological Advancements: IonQ continues to make strides in quantum computing technology. In September 2024, the company achieved a two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.9% using barium-based qubits. They aim to reach 99.999% fidelity by the end of 2025, enhancing the performance and reliability of their quantum systems.Reddit+1Kiplinger.com+1

  • Stock Market Activity: Following a period of stock price decline, IonQ director Bill Scannell purchased approximately $2 million worth of shares on March 12, 2025, indicating insider confidence in the company's future prospects.Barron's

These developments underscore IonQ's commitment to advancing quantum computing technology and expanding its market presence.

Recent News on IonQ's Financial Performance and Market Activity

IonQ Stock Is Tumbling. A Director Just Made a Big Buy of Shares.
FaviconBarron's
8 days ago
IonQ Chair: Don't Short Nvidia Because Of Quantum Computing

In November 2024, IonQ demonstrated an end-to-end application workflow that combined the capabilities of its IonQ Forte quantum system with NVIDIA's CUDA-Q platform. This integration focused on molecular electronic structure calculations, showcasing potential applications in fields like drug discovery and chemistry. By leveraging NVIDIA's A100 Tensor Core GPUs alongside IonQ's quantum processors, the workflow exemplified how quantum processing units (QPUs) can collaborate with classical accelerated computing resources to solve complex problems more efficiently.Yahoo Finance+2IoT World Today+2SDXCentral+2Quantum Computing Report+1IoT World Today+1

NVIDIA's CUDA-Q is an open-source platform designed to streamline hybrid quantum-classical computing by enabling seamless integration and programming of QPUs, GPUs, and CPUs within a single system. This collaboration underscores IonQ's commitment to advancing practical quantum applications by combining quantum hardware with AI supercomputing resources.Reddit+5NVIDIA Developer+5IoT World Today+5IoT World Today

Furthermore, at NVIDIA's annual developer conference in March 2025, IonQ's Executive Chair joined a panel discussion with NVIDIA's CEO to explore the integration of quantum computing with classical systems, highlighting the ongoing partnership and shared vision for the future of computing.IonQ

IONQ is a first mover in Quantum advancement and commercialization

IonQ is a prominent player in the global quantum computing landscape, recognized for its innovative approach and contributions to the field. The company specializes in trapped-ion quantum computing, utilizing individual atoms as qubits, which offers advantages such as long coherence times and high-fidelity operations. This positions IonQ alongside major tech companies like IBM, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon in the pursuit of advancing quantum technologies.Technology Magazine+1SpinQ+1BlueQubit

In terms of commercialization, IonQ has demonstrated significant progress.

The company reported a 95% increase in annual revenue for 2024, reaching $43.1 million. This growth reflects IonQ's expanding influence and the growing interest in quantum computing solutions.

IonQ's technological advancements are also noteworthy. 

The company achieved a two-qubit gate fidelity exceeding 99.9% on its barium-based quantum systems, a critical milestone for developing practical, enterprise-grade quantum computers.PR Distribution & Investor Relations

Furthermore, IonQ's strategic partnerships and collaborations have enhanced its position in the quantum computing ecosystem. The company has integrated its quantum hardware with platforms like NVIDIA's CUDA-Q, facilitating hybrid quantum-classical computing workflows. Additionally, IonQ's presence in College Park, Maryland, contributes to the area's emergence as a significant hub for quantum research and development.Business Insider

Overall, IonQ's combination of technical innovation, commercial growth, and strategic alliances underscores its influential role in the global advancement and commercialization of quantum computing.

Update Apr 2 2025

Shares of IonQ climbed after the company said its flagship quantum computer is officially available to customers globally through a partnership with Amazon Web Services.

The stock rose 5% to $23.11 on Tuesday. Shares have gained 132% over the past 12 months.

IonQ said its Forte Enterprise computer is now accessible via Amazon Braket, a managed quantum computing service from AWS. The service has a high bar for commercial availability, and also hosts IonQ's Aria and Forte quantum computers, the company said.

Forte Enterprise is also available on the IonQ Quantum Cloud, the company said.

The computer offers #AQ36 performance for enterprise customers to develop applications in life sciences, financial services, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals and other industries, the company said. (Dow Jones)

Quantum Computing Leadership: Here is a "Deep Dive" look at IONQ 10 years after it was founded in 2015


Thursday, March 27, 2025

Google's advancements in all three of the most prolific new technologies, it's large online footprint, cash position and financials are compelling!

 


Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has recently experienced a pullback in its stock price, presenting a potential opportunity for investors. As of March 27, 2025, GOOG is trading at $166.51, down from its 52-week high of $208.70 reached on February 4, 2025.​Key Metrics


Open166.84
Day Range165.58 - 167.94
52 Week Range148.20 - 208.70
Volume6.4M

Alphabet's strategic investments in emerging technologies underscore its commitment to innovation and diversification:

  • Waymo:

    Alphabet's autonomous driving subsidiary has expanded its robotaxi services to cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles, managing over 150,000 weekly trips.AP News

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI):

    The company continues to advance its AI capabilities, with the Gemini 2.0 model and custom AI chips like Trillium enhancing its competitive edge.Financial Times+1Barron's+1

  • Quantum Computing:

    Alphabet unveiled its quantum computing chip, Willow, capable of performing complex calculations in minutes that would take classical computers an impractical amount of time.Apple Podcasts+3en.wikipedia.org+3Financial Times+3

These initiatives position Alphabet at the forefront of technological innovation, potentially driving long-term growth. However, it's essential to consider factors such as market volatility, regulatory challenges, and the competitive landscape. Consulting with a financial advisor is recommended to ensure alignment with your investment goals and risk tolerance.​

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG), the parent company of Google, stands as a global leader in technology, offering a diverse portfolio that spans search, advertising, cloud computing, and cutting-edge innovations in autonomous vehicles, artificial intelligence (AI), and quantum computing. This report provides an in-depth analysis of Alphabet's ventures in these key areas, alongside a comprehensive overview of its current business operations, financial performance, strategic partnerships, client base, institutional investors, cash position, and competitive landscape.

1. Technological Innovations

a. Waymo (Autonomous Vehicles):

Waymo now serves over 150,000 driverless rides every single week!



Waymo, Alphabet's autonomous driving subsidiary, has made significant strides in the self-driving car industry. In October 2024, Waymo secured a $5.6 billion funding round led by Alphabet, with participation from investors such as Andreessen Horowitz, Fidelity, and Tiger Global. This capital infusion aims to expand Waymo's robotaxi services beyond existing markets like San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Phoenix to new cities including Austin and Atlanta. As of late 2024, Waymo's autonomous vehicles were completing approximately 150,000 trips per week, reflecting rapid growth in user adoption.Investor's Business Daily+2The Verge+2Axios+2Investor's Business Daily

b. Artificial Intelligence (AI):



Alphabet continues to advance its AI capabilities, notably through the development of the Gemini 2.0 model. Announced in December 2024, Gemini 2.0 offers enhanced performance with swift response times. Complementary projects like Project Mariner, an AI agent assisting users with real-time tasks, and Jules, a coding assistant, further demonstrate Alphabet's commitment to integrating AI across its product offerings.Barron's

c. Quantum Computing:


In December 2024, Alphabet unveiled "Willow," a quantum computing chip capable of solving complex problems in under five minutes—a task that would take current supercomputers an impractical amount of time. This breakthrough positions Alphabet at the forefront of quantum computing, with potential applications in fields such as drug discovery, fusion energy, and battery design.New York Post

2. Current Business Operations and Financial Performance

Alphabet's business model is predominantly driven by advertising revenue, supplemented by its growing cloud computing services and hardware sales.
In the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, Alphabet reported total revenues of $282.8 billion, marking a 12% year-over-year increase. Net income for the same period was $100.1 billion, with diluted earnings per share of $8.04. The company's robust financial performance underscores its ability to monetize its diverse product ecosystem effectively.DEV Community

3. Strategic Partnerships and Client Base

Alphabet maintains a vast network of partnerships across various industries:

  • Waymo Collaborations: Waymo has partnered with Uber to integrate its autonomous vehicles into the Uber app in select cities, enhancing the accessibility of its robotaxi services.The Verge

  • Cloud Computing Clients: Google Cloud serves a diverse clientele, ranging from startups to large enterprises, offering AI-driven solutions, infrastructure, and productivity tools. Notable clients include major corporations across sectors such as finance, healthcare, and retail.InsiderFinance Wire+1DEV Community+1

4. Institutional Investors and Cash Position

As of January 28, 2025, Alphabet had 5.833 million shares of Class A stock outstanding, 860 million shares of Class B stock, and 5.497 million shares of Class C stock. The company's stock ownership is concentrated, with co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin beneficially owning approximately 52.1% of the voting power. Alphabet's strong cash position, bolstered by substantial cash reserves, provides flexibility for strategic investments and cushioning against market volatility.Alphabet Investor RelationsTrendSpider

5. Competitive Landscape

Alphabet operates in a highly competitive environment:

  • Advertising: Competitors include Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook) and emerging social media platforms vying for digital advertising market share.

  • Cloud Computing:


    Google Cloud competes with Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft Azure, both of which hold significant market shares in the cloud infrastructure sector.

  • AI and Quantum Computing: In AI, Alphabet faces competition from companies like OpenAI and Microsoft. In quantum computing, rivals include IBM and emerging startups dedicated to advancing quantum technologies.

6. Conclusion

Alphabet Inc.'s strategic investments in autonomous vehicles, AI, and quantum computing position it as a leader in technological innovation. Its robust financial performance, strategic partnerships, and strong cash reserves underscore its resilience and capacity for sustained growth. However, investors should remain cognizant of the competitive pressures and regulatory challenges inherent in the technology sector.

Ed Note:

We began "inching" into GOOG stock this week!​

Tuesday, March 25, 2025

UiPath will be a big winner in the Ai race going forward, says Deep Research (ChatGPT)



UiPath (PATH)
 could be among the next three big AI winners because it's in a unique position at the intersection of AI and automation—one of the highest-growth areas in enterprise tech. Here's why UiPath stands out:


🧠 1. Combining AI + Automation (RPA)

UiPath isn’t just an automation tool anymore—it's now embedding generative AI and LLMs deeply into its platform. Think of it as the "brains + hands" of the enterprise:

  • Hands: Robotic Process Automation (RPA) – bots that handle repetitive tasks.

  • Brains: Generative AI copilots that can make decisions, understand documents, and even hold conversations.

UiPath is turning traditional workflows into autonomous systems, something most enterprises urgently want to achieve.


🌍 2. Real-World Adoption & Use Cases

UiPath is already deeply embedded in thousands of major enterprises across industries like finance, healthcare, government, and manufacturing.

  • Companies are using it for:

    • Invoice and document processing.

    • HR onboarding/offboarding.

    • Compliance workflows.

    • Customer support automation.

And now with generative AI, they’re scaling these use cases 10x faster and smarter.


🤝 3. Strategic Partnerships

UiPath is working directly with OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google Cloud to supercharge its platform with LLMs.

  • Example: Integration with Azure OpenAI lets companies add GPT to workflows without having to build anything from scratch.

  • It’s also working with AWS Bedrock and Google’s Vertex AI.


📈 4. Strong Growth Metrics

Even in a tough macro environment, UiPath is growing steadily:

  • Over $1.3B in ARR.

  • Solid gross margins (~85%+).

  • Moving toward profitability and strong free cash flow.

  • Enterprise renewal rates remain high.


🔮 5. Positioned for AI-Led Digital Transformation

As companies look to cut costs and boost productivity via AI, UiPath is one of the few platforms that:

  • Can plug into legacy systems (SAP, Oracle, mainframes).

  • Offers low-code/no-code automation tools.

  • Gives companies a tangible ROI within months.


TL;DR:

UiPath isn’t trying to compete with OpenAI—it’s helping enterprises actually use OpenAI-like tools in their everyday systems. That’s a huge opportunity, and why it's quietly becoming a giant in AI-driven transformation.