"Patience is a Super Power" - "The Money is in the waiting"
Showing posts with label Europe. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Europe. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 24, 2025

Did Desjardin just Release the Kraken? - Kraken Robotics Investment and Business Report (June 2025)

 


Company Overview

Name: Kraken Robotics Inc.
Ticker: TSX-V: PNG | OTCQB: KRKNF
Headquarters: Newfoundland & Labrador, Canada
Sector: Maritime Robotics, Defense, and Subsea Infrastructure
Specialties: Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS), subsea batteries, underwater drones (KATFISH), LiDAR, seabed mapping systems


Desjardins Recent Financing (June 2025)

In June 2025, Kraken completed a major bought-deal financing of CAD 100 million, underwritten by Desjardins Capital Markets. The deal involved issuing 37.6 million shares at CAD 2.66/share, with an over-allotment option for an additional 15% (~5.6M shares).

  • Total Proceeds: Up to CAD 115M gross (with over-allotment)

  • Use of Proceeds:

    • Expansion of subsea battery manufacturing in Nova Scotia

    • Acceleration of SAS and KATFISH production

    • Expansion into global naval and energy markets

    • Integration of recent acquisition (3D at Depth)


Major Contracts and Revenue Streams

1. Defense/Naval Sector (NATO & Allies)

Kraken is well-positioned to benefit from increased global defense spending, especially among NATO allies. Recent developments include:

  • NATO Navies (Europe & North America):

    • Multi-year, multi-nation contracts in pipeline

    • Successful demos of KATFISH and AquaPix SAS with navies in Canada, U.K., and Norway


    • Legacy contract with an Asia-Pacific navy for $9.5M CAD

  • Canadian Department of National Defence:

    • Standing Offer Agreements in place

    • Active participant in Canadian defense modernization

2. Subsea Energy Sector (North America, Europe, Asia)

  • Battery Contracts:

    • Orders exceeding $11M CAD for SeaPower subsea batteries for UUVs and AUVs

    • Strong backlog through 2026; production scaling in Canada

  • Acoustic Corer Projects:

    • $8M CAD contract for seabed imaging in offshore wind farms


    • Targeting North Sea, U.S. East Coast, and East Asia wind development

3. Commercial Survey and Offshore Wind

  • Sub-bottom Imaging Contracts:

    • $3M CAD in contracts signed in Q2 for seabed survey and UXO detection

    • LiDAR and 3D imaging added via acquisition of 3D at Depth (US$17M deal closed in April 2025)


Global Expansion & Opportunities

North America

  • Canada: Anchor client for defense, with ongoing naval trials and procurement

  • United States: Entry point through 3D at Depth acquisition; U.S. Navy and offshore wind developers are key prospects

Europe

  • U.K. Royal Navy: Target client for KATFISH SAS and subsea batteries


  • Germany/Norway/Netherlands: Interest from NATO-aligned agencies and surveyors

Asia-Pacific

  • South Korea & Japan: Offshore energy and maritime security are priority targets

  • Australia: Collaborations under consideration for AUV integration with Kraken’s battery tech


Strategic Acquisitions

3D at Depth (Closed April 2025)

  • Adds underwater LiDAR and 3D imaging capabilities

  • Expands Kraken’s offering into real-time digital twins and high-res asset inspection

  • Strengthens U.S. presence


Financial Outlook (2025–2026)

  • 2025E Revenue: CAD 65–70 million

  • EBITDA Margin: 18–20% projected

  • Cash Position Post-Financing: CAD 190M+ (incl. Q1 cash + new capital)

  • Dilution: ~20% increase in outstanding shares (now ~225–230M)


Valuation Commentary

  • Intrinsic Value Estimate: ~CAD 1.60/share based on conservative DCF

  • Catalyst-Based Upside: Potential to exceed CAD 3.00–3.50 if NATO/naval contracts close and battery backlog accelerates

  • Stock Price (Post-Deal): CAD 2.66 (anchor price)


Investment Thesis

Kraken Robotics presents a compelling small-cap defense and robotics play, with:

  • Direct exposure to rising defense spending and subsea security needs

  • Proprietary technology (SAS, subsea batteries, LiDAR)




  • Strong capital position post-financing

  • Contracts in place and strong pipeline across NATO, energy, and commercial sectors

Risks: Execution of integration, government contract delays, market dilution

Upside: Accelerated backlog conversion, new contracts (NATO/U.S. Navy), energy transition tailwinds


Verdict: Kraken Robotics is well-capitalized, technologically differentiated, and globally relevant—poised to scale into a key supplier in subsea defense, robotics, and energy infrastructure.

ED Note:

Full disclosure: We are long PNG stock!

Our previous article from January 2025

A shadow war is brewing under the worlds oceans. 

Release "The Kraken"!

Saturday, March 15, 2025

From Factory Robots to Humanoids, the Robot revolution is coming and Fanuc Corp is in the thick of it!

 


Why Fanuc (FANUY) Dominates in Factory Robotics?

Fanuc Corporation (Ticker: FANUY) is a global leader in industrial automation and factory robotics, with a strong, worldwide presence in robotics, CNC systems, and factory automation. Here’s why it dominates:


1. Market Leadership in Industrial Robotics

  • Largest supplier of industrial robots globally (alongside ABB and KUKA).
  • Over 750,000 robots installed worldwide.
  • Strong presence in automotive, electronics, and manufacturing industries.

2. Highly Reliable and Scalable Robotics

  • Fanuc robots are known for their durability, precision, and reliability.
  • Provides robotic arms, assembly robots, welding robots, and painting robots for high-precision manufacturing.
  • Used by Tesla, Ford, General Motors, Toyota, and other major automakers.

3. Strength in CNC Systems and Automation

  • Dominates the CNC (Computer Numerical Control) machine market, which is key for precision manufacturing.
  • CNC systems power over 50% of the world’s machine tools, making Fanuc a crucial supplier for advanced factories.

4. Full Automation Solutions (Lights-Out Manufacturing)

  • Fanuc enables fully automated factories, including "lights-out" manufacturing, where factories run with zero human intervention.
  • Example: Fanuc’s own factories are almost fully automated, producing robots with robots.

5. Strong Global Presence & Manufacturing Capacity

  • HQ: Japan, but has factories and offices worldwide, including the U.S., Europe, and China.
  • Major production facilities in Japan and China allow for cost-effective manufacturing and rapid deployment.

6. Competitive Moat & Long-Term Customer Base

  • High switching costs: Once a manufacturer integrates Fanuc’s robots into their workflow, switching to a competitor is expensive and time-consuming.
  • Long-term contracts: Automakers, semiconductor fabs, and consumer electronics firms rely on Fanuc robots.

7. Financial Strength & Profitability

  • Debt-free with a strong balance sheet.
  • High profit margins due to low-cost production and high-value automation systems.
  • Consistent revenue from maintenance, software, and spare parts.

8. Expanding into AI and Humanoid Robotics

  • While Fanuc is dominant in industrial robotics, it is also investing in AI-driven automation and collaborative robots (cobots).
  • Possible future entry into humanoid robotics, leveraging its manufacturing expertise.

Why we might Invest in FANUY? (currently on our watch list)

Global leader in industrial automation & robotics.
Financially strong with high margins & no debt.
Long-term growth as automation demand rises.
AI and factory automation are future megatrends.


Fanuc Corporation (Ticker: FANUY) is a global leader in industrial automation and robotics, renowned for its dominance in factory robotics. This report provides an in-depth analysis of Fanuc's financial performance, growth projections, market presence, cash position, and partnerships.​


Financial Performance

For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, Fanuc reported the following consolidated financial results:

  • Net Sales: ¥795.3 billion, a decrease of 6.7% from the previous fiscal year.fanuc.co.jp
  • Operating Income: ¥141.9 billion, down 25.8% year-over-year.
  • Ordinary Income: ¥181.8 billion, a decline of 21.4%.fanuc.co.jp
  • Net Income Attributable to Owners of Parent: ¥133.2 billion, a decrease of 21.9%.fanuc.co.jp

These figures indicate a contraction in both revenue and profitability compared to the prior year.fanuc.co.jp


Future Growth Projections

Despite recent declines, Fanuc is poised for future growth:

  • Revenue Growth: Analysts forecast a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.4% in revenue, reaching approximately ¥849.6 billion by fiscal year 2026.simplywall.st+1fanuc.co.jp+1
  • Earnings Growth: Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow at a CAGR of 8.3% over the same period.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): Projected to increase to about 25% by 2026, up from 19.3% in 2021, indicating enhanced profitability and efficient capital utilization.morningstar.com

Markets and Countries Served

Fanuc's global sales distribution for FY2024 is as follows:

  • Japan: ¥105.1 billion

  • Americas: ¥227.3 billion

  • Europe: ¥168.5 billionfanuc.co.jp

  • Asia (excluding Japan): ¥284.1 billion

  • Other Regions: ¥10.2 billion

The company maintains a strong presence across major industrial regions, with significant operations in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and Asia.fanuc.co.jp


Cash Position

Fanuc's financial stability is underscored by its robust cash position:

The company continues to generate substantial free cash flow, supporting ongoing investments and shareholder returns.


Partnerships

Fanuc has established strategic partnerships to enhance its technological capabilities and market reach:

  • General Electric (GE): Collaborated to produce onboard electronics for the M1A2 Abrams tank.wired.com
  • Raytheon: Fanuc robots are utilized in missile production at Raytheon's Arizona facility.wired.com
  • UK Defense Industry: Assisted the United Kingdom in creating an efficient production process for 155-mm artillery shells.wired.com

These collaborations underscore Fanuc's integral role in both civilian and defense manufacturing sectors.wired.com


Conclusion

Fanuc Corporation's leadership in industrial automation is supported by its solid financial foundation, strategic global presence, and key partnerships. While recent financial results indicate challenges, the company's proactive strategies and market positioning suggest potential for sustained growth in the evolving automation industry.

Ed Note:

We currently have no shares of Fanuc but have placed it on our watch list for now!

Did Desjardin just Release the Kraken? - Kraken Robotics Investment and Business Report (June 2025)

Sunday, February 9, 2025

Self Driving Vehicles, IOT, Ai, Space Technology. Hiding behind the curtain of these cutting edge technologies is Swiss multi national, STMicroelectronics (STM)



 
STMicroelectronics (STM) Investment & Business Report

Company Overview

  • Ticker: STM (NYSE, Euronext Paris, Borsa Italiana)

  • Headquarters: Geneva, Switzerland

  • Founded: 1987 (Merger of SGS Microelettronica and Thomson Semiconducteurs)

  • Industry: Semiconductors

  • Market Cap: ~$40 billion (as of recent data)

  • Key Customers: Tesla, Mobileye, Apple, NVIDIA, Qualcomm, Bosch, Continental, SpaceX


Financial Overview

  • Revenue (2023): $13.27 billion (23.2% YoY decline)

  • Gross Margin: 39.3% (down from 47.9% in 2022)

  • Operating Income: $1.68 billion (Operating Margin: 12.6%)

  • Net Income: $1.56 billion (63% YoY decline)

  • Cash Position: $3.16 billion net cash as of December 31, 2023

  • Capital Expenditures (2023): $2.53 billion

  • Free Cash Flow: $288 million

STM has revised its long-term revenue goal from 2027 to 2030, aiming to exceed $20 billion in annual revenue, reflecting industry-wide challenges in semiconductor demand.


Manufacturing Facilities & Expansion Plans

  • Current Plants: Italy, France, Malta, Singapore, China

  • Expansion:

    • New Silicon Carbide (SiC) facility in Italy for EV and self-driving tech

    • 300mm wafer production expansion in France

    • China Partnership: STM is collaborating with Hua Hong to ramp up MCU production for automotive customers, particularly in EVs and autonomous systems (Expected 2025)


Technological Leadership & Business Segments

1. Self-Driving Car Technology & Automotive Leadership

STM is a critical supplier of chips and sensors for autonomous vehicle technology, providing microcontrollers (MCUs), power electronics, AI processors, and sensor fusion technology.


Key Self-Driving Partnerships:

  • Tesla: Supplier of MCUs, power electronics, and SiC chips for Tesla’s self-driving EVs.

  • Mobileye (Intel): STM provides AI-enhanced camera sensors for Mobileye’s ADAS and self-driving systems.

  • NVIDIA: Collaborates on low-power AI processing chips for autonomous vehicles.

  • Geely & Volvo: Supplies ADAS and powertrain chips for Chinese and European autonomous vehicle projects.

  • XPeng & BYD: Provides LiDAR signal processing chips for leading Chinese EV makers.

Silicon Carbide (SiC) Leadership in EVs & Autonomous Cars:

  • STM is a top 3 global supplier of SiC power electronics, used to enhance battery efficiency and range in EVs.

  • SiC chips are essential for self-driving fleets, robotaxis, and AI-driven vehicle computing.

R&D Investments in Self-Driving Tech:

  • AI-powered microcontrollers with real-time neural network processing

  • Next-gen LiDAR and radar signal processing chips

  • Edge AI processors for in-vehicle computing

  • SiC-based power solutions for energy-efficient autonomous platforms

2. Internet of Things (IoT) & Edge Computing

  • Broad portfolio of MCUs, MEMS sensors, and connectivity chips for IoT applications.

  • STM’s chips are integrated into smart home devices, industrial automation, healthcare, and wearables.

3. Space Business & Aerospace Applications

  • STM provides radiation-hardened semiconductors for satellites and spacecraft.

  • Partnerships with SpaceX and European space agencies ensure a growing presence in the space sector.


Competitive Positioning

STM faces competition from Infineon, NVIDIA, and ON Semiconductor, but differentiates itself through: ✅ Leadership in automotive microcontrollers & SiC chipsStrong AI and sensor fusion R&D investmentsExpanding partnerships with Tesla, Mobileye, and top Chinese EV makersDiverse applications in space, IoT, and AI-driven computing


Investment Outlook & Growth Potential

  • Self-Driving Boom: Autonomous vehicle sales expected to surpass $2 trillion by 2040.

  • Silicon Carbide Market Growth: Projected to hit $10 billion+ by 2030—STM is a major player.

  • AI-Enabled Vehicles: STM’s AI-enhanced MCUs and Edge AI processors position it for long-term success.

  • Expansion in China & U.S.: Ongoing investment in next-gen automotive and industrial chips.

Key Risks:Tesla’s in-house chip strategy may reduce reliance on STM in the long term. ⚠ Competition from NVIDIA and Infineon in high-performance ADAS chips. ⚠ Cyclical semiconductor demand could cause revenue fluctuations.


Final Verdict: A Key Player in the Future of Self-Driving & AI



STM is a leading semiconductor supplier for the self-driving and EV revolution, with strong positioning in ADAS, power electronics, and AI-driven automotive chips. Despite short-term revenue challenges, its SiC leadership, Tesla partnership, and investments in AI microcontrollers make it a high-potential long-term investment in the autonomous vehicle market.

ED Note:

For now, we are placing STM on our watch list as it's share price has been slipping recently due to some market turbulence and some financial re-adjustments.  We will look to take a position as these conditions improve in 2025 and beyond. 

Reasons why:  STMicroelectronics (STM) has recently adjusted its financial projections due to ongoing challenges in the semiconductor industry, particularly in the automotive and industrial sectors. The company now aims to achieve annual revenues exceeding $20 billion by 2030, a target previously set for 2027. An intermediate goal has been established, with revenues expected to reach approximately $18 billion and an operating margin between 22% and 24% in the 2027-2028 timeframe.

In the self-driving technology domain, STM continues to innovate, focusing on advanced microcontrollers (MCUs) and silicon carbide (SiC) power devices. The company has expanded its automotive MCU roadmap to support next-generation vehicles, emphasizing reduced complexity, improved efficiency, and enhanced safety and security standards.

Additionally, STM has introduced its fourth generation of SiC MOSFETs, which offer higher efficiency and are critical for electric vehicles (EVs) and autonomous driving applications.

Despite these advancements, STM has faced a downturn in demand from automotive clients, leading to a downward revision of its 2024 revenue forecast to $13.27 billion, marking a 23% decrease from the previous year. This adjustment reflects the broader challenges in the automotive semiconductor market, including high inventory levels and fluctuating demand.

In summary, while STM is actively developing technologies to support the self-driving car industry, it is also navigating significant market challenges that have impacted its financial outlook.

Robots and Automation - From factory bots to Robo Taxis and Humanoids. Who are the leading companies?

Monday, July 1, 2024

Fluence Energy has established itself as a leader in energy storage through several strategic advantages and significant achievements in scale!

 


 Here are the key factors contributing to the leadership position of $FLNC:

  1. Scale and Reach: Fluence has deployed and contracted over 20 GWh of battery-based energy storage systems globally, operating in 47 markets. This extensive presence and experience enable Fluence to leverage global best practices and economies of scale, making it a formidable player in the energy storage industry.

  2. Technological Innovation: The company continuously develops advanced energy storage products, such as the Gridstack Pro and Ultrastack, tailored for utility-scale projects and grid applications. These innovations are designed to meet the increasing demands of modern power grids, particularly in managing renewable energy integration and grid stability.

  3. Strategic Partnerships: Fluence has forged strong partnerships with key industry players. For instance, their collaboration with TransnetBW in Germany on the 250 MW Grid Booster project showcases their ability to deliver large-scale, innovative solutions that enhance grid efficiency and support renewable energy integration.

  4. Comprehensive Service Offerings: Fluence provides an ecosystem of solutions, including modular and scalable energy storage products, comprehensive service offerings, and AI-enabled software for managing and optimizing renewable energy and storage. This holistic approach ensures customers can rely on Fluence for end-to-end energy storage solutions.

  5. Safety and Reliability: Fluence emphasizes safety and reliability, which are critical for gaining and maintaining customer trust. Their systems have accumulated nearly 3 million operating hours, underscoring their durability and performance.

Looking forward, Fluence plans to maintain its leadership by continuing to innovate, expanding its market reach, and enhancing its technological capabilities. The company is also focused on addressing emerging challenges such as grid congestion and renewable energy integration by deploying sophisticated energy storage solutions that provide flexibility and resilience to power networks.

By leveraging these strengths and maintaining its commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Fluence is well-positioned to sustain its leadership in the rapidly evolving energy storage market.



Over the past three years, Fluence Energy has demonstrated substantial growth, solidifying its position as a leader in the energy storage sector. Here are some key highlights of their growth trajectory:

  1. Revenue Growth: Fluence has experienced significant increases in revenue. For instance, in fiscal year 2023, the company reported record quarterly order intakes, which resulted in the highest-ever backlog and led to an increase in their revenue guidance for the year​ (Simply Wall St)​​ (Stock Analysis)​.

  2. Global Expansion: Fluence has expanded its market presence to 47 countries, deploying and contracting over 20 GWh of battery-based energy storage systems globally. This expansion includes major projects in Germany, Finland, and Australia, showcasing their capability to handle large-scale and complex energy storage systems​ (Fluence)​​ (Stock Analysis)​.

  3. Technological and Product Innovation: The company has continuously introduced advanced energy storage products, such as the Gridstack Pro and Ultrastack, which cater to utility-scale projects and address the growing needs for grid stability and renewable energy integration. These innovations help Fluence stay ahead in a competitive market by offering cutting-edge solutions​ (Fluence)​​ (Simply Wall St)​.

  4. Strategic Partnerships and Projects: Fluence has partnered with leading energy companies worldwide to deliver significant projects. Notable examples include the 500 MW/1000 MWh energy storage system for AGL Energy in Australia and the Grid Booster project in Germany, which are among the largest and most complex energy storage systems globally​ (Fluence)​​ (Simply Wall St)​.

  5. Industry Recognition: In 2024, Fluence was named one of Forbes' Most Successful Mid-Cap Companies, reflecting its robust performance and market leadership. This recognition is based on positive sales growth, financial health, and strategic market positioning​ (Fluence)​.

Overall, Fluence Energy's growth over the past three years has been marked by increased revenue, global market expansion, technological innovation, strategic partnerships, and industry recognition. These factors collectively contribute to its leading position in the energy storage market and set a strong foundation for continued growth in the future.

Discl: We own shares in $FLNC


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Tuesday, May 21, 2024

Energy Storage and EV charging are burgeoning markets today, and this company is a first mover and market leader! Here's why/

 ChargePoint has established itself as a leader in the energy storage and EV charging markets for several reasons:

  1. Network Size

    ChargePoint operates 114,000 charging points across the U.S. and Europe, making it the largest EV charging system provider globally.
  2. Growing faster

    than any competitor!

  3. Integrated Solutions:

    ChargePoint collaborates with Stem, an AI-driven clean energy solutions provider, to develop an integrated EV charging and battery storage solution

    This approach allows fast charging deployment even before utility upgrades are complete, avoiding demand charges. 
  4. Battery storage also enhances grid resilience during outages.
  5. Partnerships: ChargePoint has formed strategic partnerships with companies like VolvoStarbucks, and Mercedes to expand fast charging infrastructure and support long-distance electric travel2.

  6. European Market Leadership: In a report by Frost Sullivan, ChargePoint was recognized as the European electric vehicle charging market leader based on product quality, implementation excellence, and growth strategy3.

Overall, 

ChargePoint’s commitment to mass EV adoption, extensive network, and innovative solutions contribute to its leadership position in the industry


ASIA

ChargePoint, a leading provider of networked charging solutions for electric vehicles (EVs), has been expanding its presence in AsiaWhile the company has primarily focused on the Americas and Europe, it has also reported triple-digit growth in Asian markets


Additionally, ChargePoint’s software enables access to over 900,000 global charging locations, making it a significant player in the EV charging space worldwide


Growth

ChargePoint is currently in a growth phaseChargePoint has been experiencing significant growth in its global footprint. While specific growth rates may vary, the company’s expansion efforts have been substantial.

Also, the pullback in the EV charging portion of Tesla's business, may have a significant positive impact on it's competitors and ChargePoint is the main competitor.


New Partnerships:

ChargePoint (NYSE: $CHPT), The leading provider of networked charging solutions for electric vehicles ( $EVs), and Airbnb Inc. (NASDAQ: $ABNB) have partnered to meet a growing demand in EV charging from Airbnb guests.

Stock Price

CHPT's stock price is at or near it's all time low and therefore positive news could send the price much much higher over the next 24 months!